plus one in order to get to a runoff in june. mathematically if ossoff gets to 50 it s a big deal. i don t think he can make it. i just don t. a runoff means enough time for republicans to mobilize and motivate and scare their voters into coming out. i think he loses a republican seat. if there is high democratic energy and apathy among republican party faithful and this was not at trump district. it s a republican district. romney and price win it, trump wins it by. these republicans don t like trump. if they like him less now, it s a real harbinger. bret: flip side, clinton that georgia was turning democrat that it was shifting, spent some time campaigning there. democrats dumped this money and celebrity. they don t end up winning. i think this is all upside for democrats.