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just for everybody who s been paying attention to voting, and there s obviously been a heightened interest in it since the 2020 election. in what some people call the red mirage or the blue mirage. some states count early votes early. some don t count them early. pennsylvania, for instance, same situation. early votes tend to favor democrats. but they re not allowed to not only are they not allowed to count them ahead of election day. they re not even allowed to prepare them and get them ready just to hit the button. so, it s a lag the exact opposite of the situation here in georgia. it s just one state tonight, and just one race. so it is less confusing. if you go back to the 2020 example, early in the night joe biden was well ahead in ohio and well ahead in texas and well above even in florida. different states do it different ways. here in georgia we are seeing in most of these counties this is
now you pull out statewide. balance do we see? number one, a lot more of the map filling in. again, predominantly the early vote. this is key for herschel walker. these are small rural counties. not a lot of people. but this is where you make the joke with me. coffee county is next to bacon county. it is very important. you see 70%, right? 70% if you round up a month ago, he was just above 71%. a little more. it s key as we watch the rest of the night fill in. maybe there s a chance he juices that up a little bit. that s a possibility west don t know that. that s what you re looking the a. you go through the county. on election day, republicans need to dominate. they need probably 60% of the election day vote, the votes cast today. if you add up these counties, that is what you get here. many more people live here.
and how many times have you heard from republican operatives either at the rnc or elsewhere over the years, many years, saying we re going to change the way republicans vote. one of the reasons they have been stymied in that is because of donald trump. no question about it. because he spent so long saying don t vote by mail, don t do early voting. and it really good into the blood stream. if things don t work out for herschel walker here, this is going to be one of the areas in which they will point fingers at their failure to get their early vote out, their failure to vote by mail, to demonize. a republican leader on the house side has tried to push back against donald trump not to say these things about vote by mail. but so much about this race will be where do suburban voters come down. a lot of the conservative voters in these suburbs, the walker campaign wants to show that this is about getting a republican seat. ignore the flaws, ignore those concerns. we need another rep
number? because it seems as though and i m just going by the estimate. so that s not scientific. but it seems as though the numbers, not the percentages now i m talking about, but the numbers might be down a little from november. the expectation is the raw numbers. if you go back let s look at the governor s race. you look at 2.1 million to 1.8 million. 28,000 there. the expectation is that that raw number drops. his chief deputy was talking about how the turnout today was surprisingly strong and they think they re going to be relatively close to where they were a month ago. that was one of the big questions. number one, it s a runoff. the people of georgia are voting and voting and voting. it will drop some especially when you realize it s just for whether it s 50/50 or 51. does that convince some republicans to stay home? are there republicans who voted for walker but they really turned out a month ago to vote for the governor? are they people who just don t want to vote again?