threshold. these three candidates had hit. donor threshold and these three candidates had hit some of the polling threshold. they had to be 2% in some polls plus the donor threshold. mary williamson needed three polls so she was out of it. gabbard steyer had to hit two polls. he hit one. the first one to come out today, biden in the lead, warren, sanders. what you don t see 2% or above, the names gabbard or steyer. by not hitting 2% in that poll, that basically eliminates tulsi gabbard from being in that second debate. shortly after, quinnipiac, biden in front, warren, sanders. you do not 2% or above, the name tom steyer. so tom steyer had two shots this morning to get that magical fourth poll that would put him on the debate stage. he did not get it. tulsi gabbard had two shots to
who dropped out. the ones in dark shade are candidates who had not coming into today qualified for the next debate in september. coming into today, only ten candidates had qualified. what that meant, they hit a doan why are threshold, raised donations from at least 130,000 people and critically they had hit the polling threshold. these candidates have done it. the suspense coming in to today, it was around these two candidates, tulsi gabbert and tom steyer, both hit the donor threshold. tom steyer had hit that 2% mark in three polls. tulsi gabbert in two. steyer needed one, gabbert needed two more and two new polls coming out this morning, so suspense, would either of them, would both of them qualify, and then cause this to be a two-night debate in september again. first poll that came out this morning, usa today /suffolk, biden as you mentioned clearly in first, warren, sanders, but
he didn t get 2% in the monmouth poll. that means by midnight tomorrow, these are the ten candidates who have hit the donor threshold. who have hit the polling threshold. you ve got tom steyer sitting one poll short. he would somehow need another poll to come out tonight, tomorrow morning. not one we know about, certainly, you never know, maybe something else drops, maybe it s something that the dnc recognizes if he s at 2%, he gets in. the only one remotely in the picture, tulsi gabbard, she s two polls away. she would need two to come out between now and tomorrow. otherwise, you got it, ten candidates, one stage, one debate, one night. jonathan, let me pick up on that point that steve just laid out for us. one, if in fact you got some of these candidates that don t qualify for the debate stage tomorrow, is that effectively the end of their campaign? well, you would kind of have to think so. a lot of them would have to take
does tend to generate actually a somewhat significant among even conservatives and libertarians, notwithstanding the fact that she has a fairly straightforward left-wing policy agenda, but she has something about her, i don t know, ambience that draws an idiosyncratic range of support from across the spectrum, and i think that has rubbed certain people the wrong way. i m not going to allege a conspiracy as to why she is likely going to be excluded from the next debate, but i m going to allege that the criteria the dnc is using to determine who is included and who is excluded is laughably arbitrary. as i mentioned in an article that i wrote this week in real clear politics, gabbard has gotten over the required polling threshold in two separate polls in two separate early primary states. the boston globe as a
they have not met the polling threshold. one of them have. tom steyer has reached 2% in three of the polls, not four. by august 28th will there the oob poll th there be another poll that the dnc recognizes come out. and if one does, does steyer reach 2% in that poll. if he does, then he s on stage. that would mean 11 candidates would qualify, not one night then two nights of debates. that s the suspense with steyer. tulsi gab bettbert, she hit the polling threshold in two. she would need next week two more polls to come out where she hits 2%. hard to see that happening. keep that in mind.