security, for maintaining an army that will defend this country in the event of an attack. laura: who was going to sign up for a military if it s main focus is woking the enlistees. the media has been touting another recent poll finding that 74% of americans said that the u.s. and its allies in nato should impose a no-fly zone in ukraine. how irresponsible is it or is it irresponsible for these polling outfits to ask these provocative questions without any context what it would involve and perhaps what it might trigger? right. polling is an art as much as it s a science and it depends how you asked the question, how you phrase the question and whether you provide with those trade-offs are going to be. 75% may take a no-fly zone is a great idea until you ask them the result of that and the consequence of that might be
chambers of congress. steve: look back to 2016. polls got it wrong. only one or two polling outfits i think rasmus sen was rasmussen and usc polls got it close. steve: sitting in a big hotel big banquet room every year they host the al-smith dinner u nikki haley taking up residence on the east side of new york as the u.n. ambassador had a little fun. she was one of the keynote speakers. and she brought up some people in the news. listen to this. the president called me this morning and gave me some really good advice. he said if i get stuck for laughs, just brag about his accomplishments. [laughter] it really killed at the u.n. i do understanding why you invited me. two years ago president trump was here and he made some waves. last year he went with paul ryan, who he is a boy scout that s fine but a little
organizations and other polling outfits, we didn t think they were going to be enough polls that would give us a clear data point to make a sound editorial decision. yes, really emphasize, we don t know who s going to be on stage, we won t know that until the 10th. the candidates are going to have to campaign hard. the current picture of the race. and not be punitive to those who have performed well through the summer up to this debate. thank you so much for explaining. we are following several new developments as the 2016 presidential campaign grows nastier and more personal, jeb bush just launched his sharpest attack so far on donald trump. it s a new feature. sarah murray has been following all this and is here to give us a look. the battle is growing even more heated today, with the candidates taking to social media to do some good old fashioned mudslinging. waiting. floundering in the polls, jeb
others some say she s exceeded executive powers that pushed initiate ives he wanted to push. will he find some lawyer that will tell him to do more on immigration? we ll have to wait and see. what percentage do you think there is in terms of a prediction that democrats would want to wait until after the midterms to pass anything. it s not only democrats who want to wait until after the midterms. republicans want to wait until after the midterms. several polling outfits think that the republicans could very well take the senate, largely because of the obama care issue, some political strategists say if you make immigration an issue, that will overshadow obama care and maybe weaken the republican stance. i m not so sure that s true. but let me give u you one other scenario, which is a
the best results. they have changed that. they have changed how they are waiting cell phones and land lines in their samples to get the people they want. frank had e-mailed us after he talked to you, i guess, and we great deal appreciate that. what did he say went wrong when you talked to him? because what we found is a lot of the established polling outfits didn t get it as well as people like pppp, for instance. that sort of the more established polsters looked down their noses at. what did frank say gallup got wrong and you re talking about how he is going to fix it? gallup is reluctant to make changes to their formula to the wording of their questions because one of the reasons that we use it all the time, that you used it all the time, is that they have a longer data set than anyone. you can look back to the 70s and 80s and see what people were saying about an identically