kansas city, johnson county, kansas in particular, like a quarter of all votes in the giant state of kansas will come out of this one county, bedroom communities right outside k.c. traditional republican voters. they say those voters would be unnerved by kobach. there is some polling evidence to back up that theory. this was a poll that came out just before the primary, and it tested two different republican nominees here, colyer and kobach against kelly. check this out. here s what it found. colyer the incumbent governor was running ten points ahead of kelly. you see greg norman running as an independent. that s a name you might remember from 2014. but the bottom line republicans with colyer were up ten in this poll. substitute kobach in for colyer and all of a sudden kelly the democrat goes up by one. down ten for the democrats, up one democrats say that s the difference of having kobach. and then they say look, you get a midterm year in a climate favorable, maybe that would help too
the trump era. so the two choices here, you mentioned stacey abrams, the they re riff her campaign strategically is, look, georgia s changing demographically. the name of the game for a democrat doesn t mean we have to reach out to to republicans, doesn t mean we have to reach out to trump voters. we have to find those new folks, get them excited, get them registered, get them mobilized. expand the pie of democratic voters. that s sort of the strategic theory behind the abrams campaign. the evans campaign, though, says no, you want to win an election in georgia, you got to get bigger than that. you need to win over some traditionally republican voters. you need win over some folks who were for trump. it s just the reality of running in a state like this. so very interesting strategically. what will georgia democrats choose? the polling evidence we have suggests abrams goes into this as the favorite. always volatility in an election day so we ll see what happens when those returns come
don t like donald trump don t like him and that s not going to change and the people that do like him filter out the messages they want to hear from donald trump. i have polling evidence that shows that, his base is fairly solid. he s in the mid to late 30s and as far as storms are concerned there are political pitfalls and political opportunities. my house was flooded in 2015. i rode by 22 houses on the way to the studio today that still are boarded up and hadn t been fixed. nobody blamed president obama on that not being fixed and i doubt trump didn t have the visual like george bush had of looking out over air force one and not going down and visiting the people. he doesn t have that optic yet and i think he s going back to make a statement of the support for the people of texas, and the politicians in texas, but it is horrific tragedy that s happened down there. people who like myself and other who have been affected by hurricanes and floods get that this is ten years in the making
trump tapped into something out there that was a lot broader. a majority position. yes. the most recent poll i saw 52% do not support syrian refuges coming into the united states and that is going back. two polls i m aware of taken during the campaign and each one showed majority opposition to this. not saying it s rights and the concerns are not valid but in terms of say donald trump campaigned on it, he said that is what he is going to do and the polling evidence that is out there says the country, the majority, smaller majority but still a majority was there with him. he painted in very broad stripes saying many issues during the campaign he just could not do legally. these are some things that he can do legally. sometimes with just the signing of his signature. the question this morning remains from december of 2015, which we asked him when he came on a couple of days later after he announced this idea of keeping muslims out of the country which is how will you know when it
fundamental breakdown in the not democracy. yeah. cornell, you know, you re a pollster. and so there s a question, right, about what this is doing to people. i think largely the polling evidence suggests that this doesn t change anyone s mind. comey s, you know, actions or et cetera. what it does appear to me clearly in the polls is that this gives republican partisans what they probably were looking for already to come home. it emboldens them and it s really sad because this is part of a continuum actually that we see that i would argue started with president obama s election and i argue that in my new book. but it s a continuum where you have people who are willing to use whatever means they have to really undo what the majority of americans now are saying you want to do. when they sat around and