under his leadership. these are worrisome sign with incumbent president at this point in the second term. a lot of democrats think it will be a cakewalk for the re-election and we hope they keep thinking that because we re going to brainge challenge. eric: on may 5, south carolina g.o.p. debate on the fox news channel, broadcast by us. you have tim pawlenty, rick santorum, ron paul and buddy roamer participating. does something like that, todd, cause a one or two candidates to kind of break out of the pack? we re too early for anyone to break out of the pack. it s important to put in context why we are getting such a late start. if you go back to look at 2009 in the primaries there leading up to the 2010 cycle, whoever was winning in 2009, chances are they lost badly in the