between 3 and 6 points. let s look at our latest poll of polls, and average of seven most recent polls. 46% for clinton, 42% for trump. it s a state by state battle. let s look at where the candidates were spending their final day on the trail. let s start with michigan, which saw both hillary clinton and donald trump there today. our last poll, 42%, to 38%. a four point edge for hillary clinton in that michigan poll. up to new hampshire which saw a lot of campaign trail activity today. including for president obama and donald trump. 44% to 41%. 3 point edge in the new hampshire poll of polls. let s look down in north carolina. both candidates in that state today, critical to both of their paths. 44% to 41%. about a two point edge for hillary clinton. how does this map out in their path to 270. let s look at the electoral
he d be at 265. i showed you a new hampshire poll, that is one place for him to go. that gets him to 269. and that colorado poll is a possibility. nine electoral votes here. as his path begins to widen a little bit, north carolina may be a big, big road block. 46% edge to 42%. sorry, four-point edge. 46 to 42 clinton over trump. if she can block donald trump in north carolina, the state where both donald trump and hillary clinton will be today, that could effectively block him from 270 electoral votes. all right, david, let s put some more meat on the bones. stay with us. we have two new national polls just out. we have a new abc/ washington post poll and it does what you see on your screen. clinton plus two and a cbs/ new york times, .
a swing towards clinton. everyone is points. what s driving it? gender gap, women defecting from donald trump. 19 point edge for hillary clinton in this fox news national poll among female likely voters. a 19 point edge for secretary clinton. that as huge deal and even a bigger deal when you break it down and take a closer look at why it s happening. just again in the last week donald trump has lost 12 points among women aged 45 and older. ten points among suburban women. seven points among white women with college degrees and six points mock women who describe themselves as republicans. donald trump is bleeding support among women at a critical time in this race. how to do the national numbers translate in the state levels? call it a case of the battleground blues. remember early trump was going to win across the rust belt. ohio is the best state. it is not enough. losing in wisconsin, losing in michigan. losing big in pennsylvania.
john king joins us to break it down by the numbers. anderson the map is looking more and more bleak for donald trump and all these controversies. the groping tape. the fox news poll shows hillary clinton with a 7 point national lead. worth noting it was only two points for clinton a week ago. in the middle of the controversy a swing towards clinton. seven point national lead now. what s driving it? gender gap, women defecting from donald trump. 19 point edge for hillary clinton in this fox news national poll among female likely voters. a 19 point edge for secretary clinton. that as huge deal and even a bigger deal when you break it down and take a closer look at why it s happening. look at this right now. again just in the last week donald trump has lost 12 points among women aged 45 and older. ten points among suburban women. thgs with close elections are decided in the suburbs. seven points among white women with college degrees and six
donald trump in the lead 26-24%. those polls say they strongly support the candidates. only 14% saying they may vote differently. ted cruz holds under a four point edge followed by jeb bush at seven points. iowa, any way you cut it, it s a draw right now. it is. let s go to new hampshire. trump has a 16 point lead. 30% to marco rubio s 14%. chris christie third at 12% while ted cruz 12%. bush down to 9%. let s move to the interesting results. 56% of all republican voters say they are certain to support their current choice. 79% of trump supporters, matt lose, said they are sticking