it down to people who say that they are certain to vote, could be called likely voters, the numbers flip and it s 47-46 in favor of republicans. more republicans says going to play out? first of all, this generic ballot is fantastic for republicans and for republican candidates across the country. let me just put in perspective for the viewers. on election day 2020, the generic ballot was d plus 7 and republicans picked up 14 house seats. and yours is the outlier, most of the generic ballots, john, are plus 4, or plus 3, or 5. so if you have a 10 or 11 point swing on the generic ballot, people are voting in the early voting states, it s a very good trend because the economy has taken hold. just like sports, you don t win
i would like to see masters come from behind and win the race in arizona. and tiffany smiley in the state of washington state or in colorado. where do you see this ending on the day after election day? between plus 3 and 5 for the republicans. i agree with everything you said. when the former democratic vice mayor of philadelphia endorses dr. oz and he said the crime is so great, i can t stay with fetterman. that s a rocket. when you see somebody to continue to move in the right dire direction. in new hampshire when senator
crime factor is a major. sandra: they used to work in new york city. a lot of people moved out of new york city because of what s going on. the district is a d plus 3 district. joe biden won it by 10 points and we re up four in the polls. i feel very good about this district. i represent rockland county in the state assembly. 42% of the district. maloney only represents 25% of the new district currently. so we re both representing a very similar population. bill: a couple things from 2020 joe biden won the district easily by five points. bill: 56 to 43 on screen here. that is a lot of democrats who live there. 70,000 more democrats than republicans. what people need to take away from this is a lot of blue collar working class people. a lot of cops, firefighters. sean maloney said his top
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trump won by 15 points. minnesota 1 republican won special election by 4 but trump won by 10. last night two elections. new york s 19, the democrats won by 2.2, biden won by 1.5 in that district but if you look at what s called the partisan vote index, it is a plus 3 republican district and new york 23 where the republican won by 6 and trump won by 11. the partisan vote index is plus 9. what i deduce from last night. the democrat base is energized in a special election and new york is a little hinkey, there are more registered democrats in 19 than republicans. republicans the end to turn out and vote more. they didn t in this election and similarly in 23, there are more registered republicans than democrats. they didn t turn out either the pvi plus 9. trump vote was 11.