two key races for two key reasons. number one, we like to go to bed early because we have to be up at 2:00 a.m. we have to look at the east coast. the other reason is these two key races. kentucky and virginia. swung for republicans two years ago. in kentucky, it was plus 22 for the republican and in virginia, plus 15 for the republican. now they are both extremely tight races. sarah, how big of an indication is this tonight? dave brat s district is a district that is not economic helpful. this is a classic example of that. it is a northern virginia area outside of washington, d.c. it is interesting to see dave brat vilified by the republicans. now he has to receive help from the members of that establishment. one of the ironies of how
cross every t seven times before this. he s in serious trouble. when you re charged with 11 felonies. this is classic insider trading. got the information from inside sources. family sold the stock and information goes public. couldn t make a better caser tr. local leaders were saying they were not publically backing him. he felt he has to get out. this is a district he won by 67% last time and the time before and cycle before in 2014. it s a solid red district. chris collins became district in play and they can t lose, they can t afford to lows any seasoned republicans because a blue waive might come. they need to see. i total le agree with what dean and evan said. this is district r plus 22. safe republican district. the moment this announcement happened, not today s announcement, but him getting arrested. it was changed to a competitive
rallying women around it, look, plus 22. that was the, our benefit, how we won women by in virginia. project that into the future. it s a tidal wave if we re winning women by 22 points. from a strictly political standpoint, i want to have roy moore as a punching bag. honest man. do you think mitch mcconnell sees this as sort of a lose/lose but which which can he live with? i think mitch mcconnell knows, seeing the same numbers we ve all seen and recognizes that it s probably a bigger problem for him to have roy moore in the senate politically speaking than it is to have that one seat, but also frankly, he doesn t want roy moore, the person, in the senate. doesn t want to deal with him in the senate. it s a nightmare for mitch mcconnell. not a reliable vote on anything, jennifer. no, no. if you think tom cotton is a grandstander, or, you know, ted cruz like please. he s going to think ted cruz is
interesting, that was that this is a stain on the republican party. i think he s absolutely right and i will go again to virginia and underline this number, plus 22. you know, that was the advantage that democrats had among women voters in virginia. and a lot of this, brian, is why the polls were so off because you re just not preticking that s unusual, right. and i think when you look at the energy among women and you look at you ve got double the amount of women who are running for congress this time than you ve seen before. when you sthee sort energy and it s building on the left, i think it s preelly problematic. one last thing i will say, i don t do this very often is courage to senator flake for what he s done. our thanks. cornell belcher, jill colonel van, david jolly, appreciate the conversation tonight as so much is change around us. coming up, what the president did today that may break with nearly 70 years of u.s. policy. that when the 11th
and brimstone. this is the charade that donald trump is relying on being successful while all the energy is building on the left. and that s why 18 is going to be pretty, pretty difficult for republicans. cornell, do you conquer? i will add this. mit rumny said something i thought was interesting, that this was a stain on the republican party. i think that s absolutely right. and i will go to virginia and underline this number. plus 22. that was the advantage that democrats had among women voters in virginia. and lot of this, brian, is why the polls were off. that s unusual, right? and i think when you look at the energy among women and you look at you ve got double the amount of women who are running for congress this time than you ve seen before. when you see that sort of energy and it s building and it s building on the left, i think it s really problematic.