discussion. i m not saying the economic numbers aren t bad in terms of how people feel about the economy. we got strong economic numbers this morning. this is what happens in a mid-term election and people are looking around and saying there is a potential red tsunami, how can it be? this is traditionally what happens. i feel decent about holding onto the senate. the idea we re defending seats like sean maloney and a plus 20 district in california, that s very concerning. bill: what brian was saying in the greenroom was we were talking sports. look, you have some races where i think the journal is right. the far left shift is there. wisconsin and barnes you can t deny that. fetterman in pennsylvania. but you look at some races and you look at ohio and you look at arizona, for example. you are not talking about at least on paper, the most far left candidates we ve ever seen but the president is such a drag on these guys.
republicans are plus 20 on the issue of safety and plus ten on the issue of economy and joe biden s approval with independence is atrocious. we will see how effective it is getting democrats out but it s not working with regular voters. greg: did i tell you my chassis bullet strategy? jussie smollett. they scaled up the hoax. they don t have to supply a victim. that s the thing. that s the difference between fear. republicans can show you the fear, here is fear here is inflation. democrats can say if you wanted abortion that s a problem. and january 6. jesse: you re saying that we are in a recession and the border is wide open and we have a crime wave. we have lost money in the stock market, wages are down in mortgage rates are soaring and we are talking about nuclear war with russia and the democrats
considering crime highly important, plus 14 issue for republicans in terms of trusted party. 62% abortion, a plus 20 issue for democrats, christian, how do you assess the numbers? it s interesting. i think you have to look at when you look at polls, i don t put a lot of faith in them all of the time but what is a motivating factor and there was recently a poll done by a republican pollster and democratic pollster together and public opinion strategies and what they it reflected what you just said, what s a motivating factor to vote and the choice issue is crime on the republican side. but, i think, it s going to be interesting to see what, you know, what people are going to do come, you know, come election day because that s the only poll that really matters. kind of picking up what you re talking up on crime, that has the ability to drive
gingrich 360. stdid one onrm the long term structural analysis of the election. the two most successful models that use historic data predict both of them came in about the same number. they predict forty four to forty six seat gain by the6 republicans in the house. i also jus t did one like this this last week. la analyzing the polling numbers. remember, the democrats infornib places like california get such huge margins that if you seewida a generic ballot nationwide, that s, let s say the mostat mes recent one was three or four points republican . that means when you get out ofun california, the republican generic advantagc advante is ens and in fact, in the swing states , even the washington post last week reported that republicans have had something likeng fifty seven to thirty five in pre swing districts, said the following. what s your prediction?ons, e predictions? plus th plus three plus three plus seven on the senate plus 20 to plus 50 in the house. hope you e wow. i
iowa senator chuck grassley tweeted sad to learn of the passing of my friend orrin hatch pip i worked closely with him on the judiciary committee plus 20 years on finance committee. we had a very good relationship, friendship he has contributed much to public policy and people of utah. barbara and i send our sympathies to his family. cnn senior political analyst ron brownstein joins us now. what is your reaction to the news of orrin hatch s passing and the legacy he leaves behind, ron? obviously start with condolences to his family and friends and those who work with him over the years. but orrin hatch is a really interesting figure, pam. because he in many ways tracking the evolution of the republican party over the last five decades. when he was elected originally in 1976 into the early 1980s he was considered part of what what was called the new right, the van guard front tier of