hello and a warm welcome to our viewers joining us in the united states and all around the world, live from outside the u.k. s houses of parliament, i m christina mcfarlen. the revolving door at number 10 downing street will not swing open for boris jauohnson again. the former prime minister stands down ahead of today s critical leadership vote. and live from cnn world headquarters here in atlanta i m rosemary church. i ll have details on all our other top stories including mid-term crunch time in the united states. new polling suggesting sky high voter interest and extreme polarization with the election just 15 days away. it s 7:00 a.m. here in london where all eyes are fixed on the tory leadership race, and we could learn who s poised to become the next leader of the conservative party and the prime minister. he said on sunday he d not be entering the race though he claimed to have enough support to move forward. that leads richard sunak and kellie in the running. wheth
the rising tide of threats some amplified by people in power is escalating the risks. and it prompted this warning from hillary clinton. a woman who knows all-too well what it is like to be targeted. ask yourselves, please, why would you entrust power to people who are either themselves unable to see how terrible it is that someone would be attacked in their home or don t really care because they think that it will somehow get them votes that will get them elected. and speaking of big political names, some of the biggest are on the campaign trail today including former president obama in arizona. we have brand new poll numbers from there and from wisconsin where margins in both the senate and governor s races are razor thin. and soon the gunman in parkland, florida is expected to be formally sentenced to life in prison. not the death sentence so many families have been hoping for. later this hour, i ll talk to the reverend risher whose mother was killed in charleston. w
they didn t like this. now, i will say this, which is, got to be careful here. this speech was not for us, and for people like us. people who are either disaffective with him or seriously analytical about politics, and i think it s a mistake to go forward thinking, ah, we moved on. everybody s moved on. like, in 2015 everybody thought this was some kind of bizarre side show thing going on with the escalator and all of that and it took a month for trump to take the lead in the republican primaries and polling, and he never surrendered it and until last week when that first new poll came out saying desantis was two points more favorably viewed for 2024 by republicans than trump, that was the first time since july 2015 he has not had the absolute support, not absolute, but not had the plurality support and then absolute support of republicans in a poll. and can he get it back?
that is why if you were calculating my own interests, i d wait back, let other candidates get in, i could afford to wait. i don t have to do big preparations to start a national campaign. try to get a big field. because, you know, maybe he has majority support because more likely he has plurality support and better for him if the field is divided. so split the anti-trump vote essentially. a couple days a ago, paul ryan predicted had trump wouldn t be the nominee because republicans want to win. but is it about raising money, name recognition, organization? what is it play here if you think that you can beat trump or you are advising? i would say 80% chance that trump runs and probably about 60% chance that he wins the nomination. so not a lot. but he d be the strong favorite.
but that doesn t necessarily mean that the political chaos is over even if it s penny mordaunt or rishi sunak to go forward. especially in rishi sunak s case. many hold him responsible for boris johnson s demise when he decided to quit back in december. is he going to be what the tory party needs or is that indicative of the fact he is going to be able to do that? sunak certainly has plurality support among the party. he s the most favorite candidate, but there s still a section of the party which do not want to which will not be happy about this. it is significant that people who won might have expected today back johnson, which