capital. and whether or not we end up seeing this in other gubernatorial contests across the country, there are at least nine sitting united states senators or members of congress who are running for governor and will this same type of playbook apply, where being a washington insider becomes a liability? but there s a third candidate here, so isn t the real issue today whether there will be a runoff? right. the third candidate is debora medina. she has this tea party support and you have touched on her in the past. her poll numbers in some cases are in the double digits, but there is some concern, will she be able to hit that particularly regarding some of the controversy she has given, given sympathy to whether or not 9/11 was an inside job, questions about barack obama s citizenship. so it will be a question whether she hits that 10% mark. if she doesn t, perry is probably going to get over 50%. if she does, we might head into that runoff in april. groundhog day, six more weeks