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China s climate conundrum: Carbon neutrality 2060 and its implications for fossil fuels

China has laid out some lofty goals for its climate action. In September 2020, it pledged that it would peak its carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and hit carbon neutrality before 2060. This was followed in December 2020 by an announcement to enhance its nationally determined contributions under the Paris Agreement for 2030, including increasing the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy consumption to around 25%. Earlier this year, it issued rules for its emissions trading scheme for the power sector and carbon trading is expected to begin in late 2021. How realistic are these goals? How can China s climate policy align with its economic and social goals? And what is the role for fossil fuels in a carbon neutral China?

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