incredible. one of the greatest political ads ever. that was fantastic. just as a matter of pure political communication. i ve never seen anything quite like it. phillip bump, this guy is a 35-year-old secretary of state, right? nobody really saw this coming. that s right. particularly in missouri. missouri used to be a swing state now a deep red state. it s the sort of place where in a year where democrats should do well nationally because it s a presidential election year, the sort of place where you expect missouri to have the republican senator do okay. it came out of left field. real quick sorry, joe. not just on style but this is also a substance issue. you all were on the front end of the sandy hook shootings. joe manchin, all that. if we ever get common sense gun legislation, it s going to be because of people like that. it s a 90/10 issue. he s using a 90/10 issue.
now, i ve done a lot of races where we ve beaten incumbents where we were never ahead except on election day. the other so it s possible. it was always the advantage went to the incumbent president as it always does. one of the understated things here is how many people are voting early. if you take florida, there s a huge increase in early voting. and i think the data indicates that that s favoring clinton. so you re going to go into election day in some of these states with a very steep hill to climb if you re behind because 40% of the electorate has already voted. stuart stevens, thank you very much. phillip bump, stay with us, if you can. if hillary clinton hopes to govern, she ll need a senate to work with. races that look like lay-ups suddenly tightening. we ll go through those numbers just ahead and tonight if you want a break from politics,
two fascinating states to watch from two very independent electorates in both wisconsin and in missouri. phillip bump, thank you very much. still ahead on morning joe we got one week until the most important election in my lifetime and wisconsin is absolutely key. we got to have you, wisconsinites. we absolutely have to have you. will you support hillary clinton? will you make sure we win wisconsin? tim kaine on the trail. conservative radio host charlie sykes joins us from wisconsin to talk about whether trump has any shot of pulling that state away from the democrats. gary, gary, gary. i am proud of you, my man. making simple, smart cash back choices. with quicksilver from capital one. you re earning unlimited 1.5% cash back on every purchase, everywhere. like on that new laptop. quicksilver keeps things simple, gary. and smart, like you! and i like that. i guess i am pretty smart.
11 days until election day, with both candidates responding to today s bombshell about the response to hillary clinton s e-mails. we re going to talk about some other political news. there s poll when it comes to black voters, donald trump has virtually no support. so back with me now, phillip bump, bakari sellers, and andy dean. phillip, i want to turn to you. you say trump s perception is 30 years out-of-date of black life. this is what he said last night, listen. we re going to work on our ghettos so the you take a look at what s going on where you have pockets of areas of land, where you have the inner cities and you have so many things, so many problems, so many horrible, horrible problems.
the campaign is lying to you, but the fact is, this is on director comey to come up and fess up. this is the only time hillary clinton s campaign and donald trump s campaign have actually agreed they want the information out in the public. phillip bump, huma abedin is hillary clinton s closest aide, she was supposed to turn over everything to the fbi now because of a sexting scandal of her disgraced husband this whole mess erupted and threatens clinton s candidacy. they must be in quite a state behind the scenes tonight. you have to. the big thing we can t reinforce enough is we don t know what these e-mails are. the fact that people are saying clinton and e-mails are bad for clinton, it s been bad for a year and a half. that s all you have to say. we don t know what these e-mails. comey said these e-mails may be part of the investigation already. they re taking a look at it already. what comey was doing was planting a flag and saying hey,