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Contrasting Messages Emanating From Belarus

According to human rights watchdog Viasna, as of December 31, 2022, almost 1,450 political prisoners remain locked away in Belarus (Viasna, December 31, 2022). On December 14, 2022, the Belarusian parliament approved the draft of a law that would allow the president to deprive Belarusians residing outside the country of citizenship if their “extremist” activity is confirmed by a court …

Bravado or Strategic Helplessness: What Is Going on Behind the Façade in Minsk?

Bravado or Strategic Helplessness: What Is Going on Behind the Façade in Minsk?
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Belarus s Geopolitical Uncertainties and Its Civilizational Choice

Uncertainty hangs over Belarus’s geopolitical situation. Will the Belarusian army eventually join Russia’s war effort? Will those issuing Western sanctions distinguish between Russia and Belarus? Are there any prospects whatsoever in mending fences with the West? Thus far, no definitive responses to these questions can be found. Notably, during a June 13 meeting with the chair of the Belarusian KGB, …

Surveys and Opinion Makers Shed Light on Events Affecting Belarus

Between April 8 and 18, Chatham House conducted its ninth online survey of Belarusian urbanites since August 2020. According to that latest poll, 40 percent of Belarusians do not support Russia’s war with Ukraine, whereas 32 percent do. “Since our sample focuses only on the urban and internet-active population,” explains Ryhor Astapenia, who conducted all nine surveys, “it is reasonable …

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