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assembly has passed. but what we ve seen is while white democrats have turned out more in the past, african-american turnout is down in the state by 8% and republicans have really shown up so where we thought there might be a democratic balance so far republicans whether you re talking donald trump, my old boss richard burr or even patrick mccrory are in a better position than we anticipated three or four weeks ago. so with that swell of republicans you could turn that way come tuesday if all indicators materialize by tuesday evening. givenen the way north carolina has been changing under the radar it s very similar to virginia but you have little pockets that add up to northern virginia, suburban areas of raleigh, suburban areas of charlotte, winston-salem, greensboro, all add up to one northern virginia. it should be hillary clinton s to win but we ve seen it s neck in neck and probably will be on election day. it was the second closest in