Deal keeps stocks near alltime highs. Treasury yields rising. Gold falling below 1500. Shery huawei still see sales growth despite the longrunning ban on u. S. Tech. We hear from the fcc. First, lets get you breaking news out of south korea. We are seeing a balance of payment. 7. 4urplus widening to trillion billion in the month of september. This is coming from the previous month when the surplus was at 5. 2 billion in the month of august. That was also two consecutive months of the surplus widening. We have five months of surplus now after the country posted its first deficit in seven years back in april. It has been under a lot of pressure. We have september exports falling 12 . Now we are seeing 11 months of contraction for those exports and south korea. , alsood balance number seeing the surplus widening to from 4. 7on, up billion in the previous month. Numbers out of south korea when it comes to those payments current account balance. Lets turn to the Australian Market that has c
In europe and japan, Government Bonds pay no interest at all. In fact, when you buy a Government Bond there, you dont even get all your money back. Never in Human History has the lender paid the borrower. Rates are tumbling. This amounts to a worldwide race to the bottom in Interest Rates. Where it leads, i dont know. But its now very likely that our Federal Reserve will drop rates aggressively from here on out, simply to keep pace with everyone else. If they dont, the u. S. Dollar will keep going up, keep disrupting our trade and our economy. I thought that with all this free money flooding into the world, that a lot of it would go into the stock market, our stock market. That is not the case, at least not right now. The dow will open with a big drop, over 250 points to the downside and there will be losses on the s p and nasdaq as well. Other markets are convulsed by it all. Look at gold. Theres a rush to the safety, what they think of as the safety of gold. Its back above 1500 an ou
All right. David i dont consider myself a journalist. And nobody else would consider myself a journalist. I began to take on the life of being an interviewer even though i have a day job of running a private equity firm. How do you define leadership . What is it that makes somebody tick . So lets talk about what it was like to be chief of staff to President Trump. Was it all that you thought it would be in terms of the difficulty . More difficult than you thought . Are you pleased you did the job . Gen. Kelly it was certainly amongst the hardest jobs i ever had in my life. I say this as well after i was in the military. It was the most important thing i ever did. For 18 months, i staffed the president the way i think a president should be staffed. Presenting him options, getting the experts in with him to talk, hash things out. Thats what chief of staff does. That was vitally important. For 18 months i was there. We staffed the president very effectively. David was it the hardest job y
I keep going, why why cant we , wait . Maybe the trade war is not weighing on the outlook as much as we feared. I think you will have to reprice to a certain degree less than three cuts. The good jobs data report pulls people back wondering what the fed will do. The fed is in preemptive mode. Does the fed to get in front of the eightball or behind the eight ball . It comes down to the discussion, do they want to make insurance cuts . What are we ensuring ourselves against . Jonathan to discuss, we have peter tchir, iain stealey, and noelle corum of invesco. I want to begin with you. It is the number one question following the payrolls report. What does the jobs number on july 5 mean for the fed meeting on july 31 . Noelle no doubt, the payrolls number was strong across the board but we dont think it means much. We think it definitely reduces the likelihood of 50 bps cut, which is priced in going into payrolls. In terms of the fed, communication will be key. They will either have to del
Here today. That tai chi manufacturing that we got a couple of minutes ago was the weakest print we saw this year. It was still0, but showing the gradual slowdown we are seeing in global pmi. The official move that we saw in europe, in the u. S. As well, which is really supporting the Global Growth concern yard of that we are seeing. That is why we are seeing the yen up, 10 7. 60. Asia fx weakening with the dollar a little stronger. We see commodities. We are continuing to see some red when it comes to steal futures in shanghai copper. Lower by 9 10 of 1 . Be with thisng to rally. Looking at the u. S. Side of things with the 10 year yield below 2 . We are seeing for asia bonds as well. I will show you what else is going on, we mention about the u. S. Tenyear. Anese through three yield three year yields. We just got the news about the boj cutting purchases of bonds and a 35year range. Its the First Time Since 2018 that they have done so. They were trying to address the flattening yield