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usual? will they? that s my guess. everybody is guessing at this points. and i sound like a broken record, but i always tell people, the election is a year and two months away, and the very first real votes aren t cast for five more months. so we re projecting the future based on very early polling, much of it malarkey. people should ignore most of those early polls. they should look back to previous election cycles and see how compelling the earlier projections were. things are going to change. as you get closer to election day, you do take things more seriously, if you re partisan. for one thing, believe it or not, in both parties, most partisans want to actually win. and that winnows the choices right there. what about ben carson? what are your thoughts on him moving up the list, getting 13% support nationally? do you think he may have a better chance at winning than trump in a general election?