martha: rich, thank you very much. rich edson. bret: shannon bream is tracking our fox news voter analysis survey with the latest numbers. shannon, what s on the minds of virginia voters. shannon: well, good evening martha and bret. still too soon to know our winner. the candidates have a very solid base of sporters. dig in to what the numbers are telling us. with the mcauliffe s treating trends this race was his to lose. youngkin the political newcomer with biz savvy has surprised many by making this a very tight contest. here s what we know so far from fox news voter analysis election survey. take a look at the strengths for each candidate. a majority of voters under 45 years old support mcauliffe. he has 5 point edge there. there is even stronger support for mcauliffe among women under the age of 45 giving him a 26-point lead. the middle ground moderates give mcauliffe similar lead 25 points there. black voters go solidly for democrat and large majority support mcauliffe givin
if there is something different going on tonight. bill hemmer has been tracking all of that data as it comes in from virginia. and we are all dying to see some of the numbers from these counties. bill: so am i. bret: here they come. bill: i have been hitting refresh for 36 minutes, guys. we have some numbers coming in. remember blue for mcauliffe and red for youngkin. and i will show you, listen, it s early, bret as you mentioned. a lot of carpet out there. we will canvas the state together and we re kind of we are going to see these numbers together for the first time here. let s remember northern virginia across the potomac from washington, d.c. richmond down here in the center. a lot of this is southwest virginia. a lot of rural areas. let s start up here in loudoun county, seems to be a hot topic of conversation right? population wise it s number 5 out of 133 counties and cities in the commonwealth. so there is a lot of votes still out there. mcauliffe with an early lead 53
today and okay, they ricoh, 85.8, youngkin, he s holding his own in the ruled areas. that is one key, right? the other key is the suburban areas. and chesterfield to see if any more voters clicked in. he s holding his own in chesterfield with 55% of the vote. bret: bill, we have a long way to go, but right now would you rather be youngkin question bill: wow, that is the game, isn t it? i guess you could be right but the bellwether county, the predicted winners every time the last 40 years, one is more and right now youngkin has an edge in that county. the other county is prince edward and you talk about the game come if i can get it here, prince prince edward about youngkin has the lead too. those are your two bellwethers in the commonwealth, guys. bret: come back a lot, bill, thanks. we will watch results roll in and stick with fox news for
important to note while mcauliffe has advantage among these groups is he running behind the support levels that these same groups had for the democrat in the last governor s race. that is how youngkin is making this a closer race than a lot of people ever expected. so let s take a look at youngkin s strengths. seniors ages 65 and older were more likely than any other group to vote early as in prior to election day not early this morning. more than half report voting in advance. youngkin holds a 14-point advantage with that group. this is big increase in support from seniors since the 2017 gubernatorial contest there in virginia. another strong group for youngkin is white men. is he getting 6 in 10 of them. about a third of the electorate are white voters without a college degree and youngkin has a strong 35 point lead among the working class voters. finally even stronger is youngkin s support for whites vang groups. 8 in 10 with him. a battle going on for fully one half of voters who l