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Presidential election cycles of years past are riddled with examples of major foreign policy issues that shook the international order, dominated headlines and even debates but ultimately were not top of mind for American voters. Experts and analysts wonder if that will change with the 2024 race because of one issue: the Israel-Hamas war, sparked by Hamas' Oct. 7 terror attack, and the ensuing humanitarian crisis in Gaza, which have increasingly loomed over parts of the Democratic base. Interviews with more than a dozen activists, Democratic operatives and voters revealed uncertainty over whether the six-month-old war in Gaza, already the longest in Israel's history, is significantly shifting political allegiances in the U.S. by turning away voters who would otherwise back President Joe Biden or if the detractors are split between voters who will either come home to the president in November or would have found some reason not to support him regardless.

Israel generalUnited statesWhite houseDistrict of columbiaAnn arborSally morganRima mohammadHeba mohammadKaren finneyAbed ayoubJames zogbyJoseph geevargheseJoe bidenArab american instituteIsraeli ministry of foreign affairsGaza ministry of health