that donald trump acted inappropriately after the election, now they re reaping the consequences of that. if you thought that he won in 2020 why wouldn t you think that he could win again in 2024. having said all of this the one thing we should note is trump s position is not quite as commanding in iowa and it is possible that someone could beat him there. the last three front runners were all beaten in iowa, but it is still a long way from an iowa win built on mobilizing evangelicals evangelical christians to building a coalition broad enough to beat him and right now none of these candidates aren t on track to do that. it s not impossible but one thing that s clear is trump has a very large lead. the party wants to do this. ron brownstein, great to see you. how lucky are we to have him in studio? i think this is a first for ron. welcome. all right. vice president kamala harris is coming out swinging for the biden campaign and targeting republican policies on hot button is
win. there may be no path, no strategy to overcome that. i think it s clear what they re doing now by largely avoiding conflict with trump, not raising indictments as a potential general election problem, echoing also claims, it s not working. if we can look at the numbers, 37% considered the maga base, 37% persuadapersuadable, open to trump. desantis am i wrong or is he running in that 37% maga base. most of what he s doing in his appeal is there, not the other two thirds. the way to think about ron desantis is donald trump is a mack truck running down the far right lane of american politics. instead of trying to occupy that all that space he s leaving on the other side of him desantis is trying to pass him on the right shoulder of the republican primary electorate. he is in a situation similar to what trump s rivals faced in 2016. trump is winning 30% of republicans with a college degree, which is exactly what he
asking this i.t. worker how long the video stays on the server according to the indictment and telling him as you say that the boss wanted the server deleted. he s facing conspiracy to obstruct justice, one charge for that is correct also a charge of making false statements and two counts of concealing or destroying an object. so he will be appearing here in court shortly. at the center of these new allegations is yet another mar-a-lago club employee, an i.t. worker by the name of taveras. we understand that he was the person who carlos de oliveira was speaking with when asking about how to delete the video from the server. sources telling cnn that some of the new allegations against trump and his aide walt nauta as well as carlos de oliveira are coming from information at least in part that this i.t. worker had given during a conversation with the fbi. we can tell you, though, that
won in 2016 according to the summary of all the exit polls that were done, but the remainder, the other 60% of college educated republicans are splintering. they are not unifying behind any one alternative including desantis and there you see that unbelievable number in a field with a dozen candidates or so, he is winning 62% of republicans without a degree which is more even than roughly half of them that he won in 2016. you know, that makes it tough. the other thing that makes it tough is that trump has reshaped the republican electorate. he has driven away some of the voters who were least likely to support him in the first place. in this poll 63% of likely republican primary voters don t have a college degree. so the party is getting trumpier which helps him with the constituentsees that he s strongest with. when he asked who is best
block is what he calls the maga base, the make america great again base, if we can see that so people can see what i m talking about here. 37%. 37% he lists as persuadable. 25% as not open there it is 25% as not open to trump. 37% in his base. that s a pretty high floor. this is the argument whit airs has opinion making, 40% of the party is locked in for trump, there s 30% that is open to an alternative but not unfavorable to trump and there is this 25% we see in polls on all questions really throughout the trump era that are that really want an alternative. the important point is by the time trump won the nomination in 2016, by the time he had effectively climpld the nomination in new york that was his support, he was only around 40%. the republican primary is structured with winner take all benefits for whoever wins, you don t need much more than 40% to