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Another Muslim nation will join the Abraham Accords and normalize ties with Israel.
I wouldn’t set my stopwatch; it could take 200 more days, but I make this call for three reasons:
Assuming Israel emerges with the upper hand from its military campaign in Gaza, that projection of strength will encourage another Muslim nation to step forward, (as opposed to the conventional wisdom that Israeli concessions bring peace).
The Biden administration may schlep someone along to induce Israel to re-engage with the Palestinian Authority.
China views the Abraham Accords as a boost to its ambitious global economic agenda, and Muslim nations in the Far East want to curry favor with China.
The US continues to transfix the world with its gun violence epidemic
As an Israeli, used to a young and dynamic political system, I’m sometimes at a disadvantage debating politics with Americans. Israel’s basic laws its equivalent of the Constitution are changed every other day. Alternative prime minister? Direct elections? Why not? We’ll change a basic law or two.
In America, where the Constitution is a quasi-sacred document, things are not so simple. So if 200 years ago someone put in a few vague words about a “well-regulated militia” in the Second Amendment, that means that today, in 2021, one can easily buy an assault rifle, or even print a gun on a home 3-D printer. Why? It’s in the Constitution.
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