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nominee. look, we are a long way away. you go back to september and october of 2011, and september and october of 2007, and different person was in the lead in each of those months than ended up being the nominee. we are going to start voting this time around a month later than we had in the last two presidential contests. in 2008 and 2012. we have a long way to go. 26.2%, mr. trump s number in the real clear politics average is still a long way from 50%. so what changes the path? because if you look at the numbers, his have continued to go up so have dr. ben carson. that s his biggest challenge right now. what changes it so his numbers don t continue to rise or start to decline? let s be careful. he actually peaked in the real clear politics average, mr. trump did, the donald was at 31, nearly 31 on september 19th. he is down now in real clear

The wayOctober of 2007October of 2011Donald trumpReal clear politicsLong way to go26 2Ben carsonSeptember 19thReal clear politics average