incumbent, jair bolsonaro, looks to be about four to five percentage points behind him. i put it to laura treveleyn, our correspondent in rio, that there won t be any partying through the night for either side. given that result. no, that s right. the candidates are already preparing for another gruelling 28 days of campaigning before the second round of brazil s presidential election on october 30. the former president, lula da silva, is attempting what would be a stunning political comeback for someone who was jailed four years ago on corruption charges only to have them annulled. he is now five points ahead of the incumbent president, jair bolsonaro. lula da silva got 48% of the vote in this first round, jair bolsonaro got 43%, and we have been hearing from both men tonight about their performance, and lula da silva did acknowledge that things
and that perhaps lula da silva might want to pick up some of her votes, but really, it is very unclear, and the really interesting thing is whether the second round of the election has more potential for more and greater destabilisation, because this was a good night for president bolsonaro s allies in congress and in races across brazil, but in the second round of the election, it willjust be him against lula da silva, a knockdown, drag out fight, and there is more incentive for president bolsonaro to dispute the result, to make unfounded claims of electoral fraud. so the stakes will be higher, it will be even more polarised as two men with very different visions of brazil, one on the left, one on the right, fight it out, david. laura in rio dejaneiro. october 30 for that second round run off. memorials have been held
for more, i m joined by christopher sabatini, senior fellow for latin america at chatham house. thank you so much forjoining us. now, we have got a polarising campaign with two presidential candidates who are poles apart. yeah, according to the latest polls, lula is i4% up, but it is unclear whether that will give him enough to win today. if he doesn t get over 50%, they will head to second round elections on october 30. there are about 11 candidates at the moment, most of them running at one digit, so it is pretty much a race between bolsonaro and lula, and if it heads to a second round, which it is not clear it will have to, it would be lula s to lose at that point. hora lula s to lose at that point. how likel do lula s to lose at that point. how likely do you lula s to lose at that point. how likely do you think lula s to lose at that point. how likely do you think it lula s to lose at that point. how likely do you think it is - lula s to lose at that point. how likely do you t
if he doesn t get over 50%, they will head to second round elections on october 30. there are about 11 candidates at the moment, most of them running at one digit, so it is pretty much a race between bolsonaro and lula, and if it heads to a second round, which it is not clear it will have to, it would be lula s to lose at that point. the rain that we had in southern england has moved away, and is heading across the channel. sunshine across the south of england, towards the north west there are a view showers. lighterthan the north west there are a view showers. lighter than yesterday. winds are as well. where there is
lula is 14% up, but it is unclear whether that will give him enough to win today. if he doesn t get over 50%, they will head to second round elections on october 30. there are about 11 candidates at the moment, most of them running at one digit, so it is pretty much a race between bolsonaro and lula, and if it heads to a second round, which it is not clear it will have to, it would be lula s to lose at that point. the rain that we had in southern england has moved away, and is heading across the channel. sunshine across the south of england, towards the north west there are a view showers. lighterthan the north west there are a view showers. lighter than yesterday. winds are as well. where there is