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NZ First Impressions: Labour market statistics, Q4 2023

The December quarter labour market surveys surprised modestly to the upside, suggesting that activity and inflation pressures are still easing, but perhaps not as quickly as the RBNZ would have hoped.

Unemployment set to go higher - bad news for some, good news for inflation

Labour market figures out in the coming week tipped to show unemployment rising from the last recorded 3.9% rate to 4.2% or higher

RBNZ chief economist talks down importance of recent economic data, remains hawkish

Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates

DIARY-Top Economic Events to March 27

NZD/USD losing downside momentum as NZ CPI awaited

One of the spotlights will turn to New Zealand's inflation data in the upcoming Asian session. Market are expecting quarterly CPI to rise 0.5% qoq in Q4, slowed from Q3's 1.8% qoq. Annually, CPI is expected to fall from 5.6% yoy to 4.7% yoy.

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