Service in washington, moscow and the united nations. To his right, the policy director for the Norwegian Ministry of defense. He served as director general or Security Policy director for the Norwegian Defense since 1995 and in that capacity really became known as the father of nato Security Policy. Its a delight to have you with us. He also served at nato headquarters and is one of the architects of this project that were working on. And the director here at the Atlanta Council who will speak about the terms in the cyber realm. He served as a policy director at the white house, as executive director at Goldman Sachs asia and u. S. Air force Intelligence Officer in the recently published a fierce domain, terrific history of prior conflict in cyberspace. So with that let me come back to you to kick off this discussion given the world that fred laid out what is the relevance of the meaning of deterrence as we look into the future . Thank you for the easy questions that you have posed to
And expect it not to demand the attention of the worlds foremost alliance which is right next door. I think this will be a priority, really the top priority, whether we wish it to be or not. Pivoting to asia would be wonderful, but i dont think the middle east will be willing to accommodate. I think there are potential roles on a steady state basis for nato or nato members, and certainly also in crises, which i think unfortunately will demand natos attention. Second, i think russia looms, at least as importantly, and i think here nato has to think about a hedge against russian futures. And the russian future that i worry most about is a declining russia, and this is in part due to the shale gas revolution, which is dropping the price of energy, which i think in essence is going to bankrupt russias state business model. And then theres also some very daunting demographic factors that are going to, i think, really create some new challenges for russia. And i worry about a russian leader
And expect it not to demand the attention of the worlds foremost alliance which is right next door. I think this will be a priority, really the top priority, whether we wish it to be or not. Pivoting to asia would be wonderful, but i dont think the middle east will be willing to accommodate. I think there are potential roles on a steady state basis for nato or nato members, and certainly also in crises, which i think unfortunately will demand natos attention. Second, i think russia looms, at least as importantly, and i think here nato has to think about a hedge against russian futures. And the russian future that i worry most about is a declining russia, and this is in part due to the shale gas revolution, which is dropping the price of energy, which i think in essence is going to bankrupt russias state business model. And then theres also some very daunting demographic factors that are going to, i think, really create some new challenges for russia. And i worry about a russian leader
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