in mozambique with flooding rains spreading into neighbouring countries, including malawi. this man from madagascar works for a charity helping people in the aftermath of the cyclones, which he says have had a devastating impact. translation: this year is proving really traumatic for people. every year, we know these are recurrent phenomena but this year, between 190 and 200 people have already died in the five storms we have had in madagascar. it is really traumatic. and that changes people s perception about climate change. scientists say that although the frequency of storms here is not increasing, there has been an exponential growth in the most intense cyclones and warmer ocean water may be changing their paths, pushing them southwards. madagascar, northern madagascar, central madagascar has always been exposed to cyclones. it would mean a greater risk. in regions of madagascar. we also have a small proportion
a couple of times in a decade. but the extremity of it, that is that. i wouldn t say it was a surprise but that is the most concerning factor, that we have gone from literally the south east of australia burning, to literally the south east of australia flooding. so, the extremes that we have seen lately, while they have been unprecedented, currently speaking, in the future they will no longer be unprecedented, they will be more like normal. now, that is not to say that they will occur every single summer because especially in australia, we can flip from really dry conditions to really wet conditions within a matter of a couple of years, but these events will look less extreme and more closer to normal because of how extreme future events will be. february in madagascar and cyclone batsirai is the second of five tropical weather systems to impact the island so far this year. thousands have lost their homes. entire villages have been swept away. many people have died. cyclones, the same
of storms that have always historically tracked south of madagascar and moved south into the mozambique channel, and there is a greater chance of those types of storms forming and moving in that particular path. and then if we look at mozambique, it means a greater probability of storms being able to make landfall in southern regions of mozambique, rather than purely on the central and that means that there is also a risk for south africa, not in terms of having direct landfall of a tropical cyclone at this point in time but if we consider that tropical cyclones have a diameter of hundred to 500 kilometres, those storm bands can really affect south africa more than they would have in the past because of the south displacement. i m back inside the national coastwatch institute in station here at the needles on the isle of wight, and the views here are fantastic, i tell you. you can see right across the south coast of england all the way to anvil head there about 50 nautical miles away.
of storms that have always historically tracked south of madagascar and moved south into the mozambique channel, and there is a greater chance of those types of storms forming and moving in that particular path. and then if we look at mozambique, it means a greater probability of storms being able to make landfall in southern regions of mozambique, rather than purely in the central regions of mozambique. and that means that there is also a risk for south africa, not in terms of having direct landfall of a tropical cyclone at this point in time but if we consider that tropical cyclones have a diameter of hundred to 500 kilometres, those storm bands can really affect south africa more than they would have in the past because of the southward displacement. i m back inside the national coastwatch institute in station here at the needles on the isle of wight, and the views here are fantastic, i tell you. you can see right across the south coast of england all the way to anvil head there abo
a couple of times in a decade. but the extremity of it, that is that. i wouldn t say it was a surprise but that is the most concerning factor, that we have gone from literally the south east of australia burning, to literally the south east of australia flooding. so, the extremes that we have seen lately, while they have been unprecedented, currently speaking, in the future they will no longer be unprecedented, they will be more like normal. now, that is not to say that they will occur every single summer because especially in australia, we can flip from really dry conditions to really wet conditions within a matter of a couple of years, but these events will look less extreme and more closer to normal because of how extreme future events will be. february in madagascar and cyclone batsirai is the second of five tropical weather systems to impact the island so far this year. thousands have lost their homes. entire villages have been swept away. many people have died. cyclones, the same