for southern regions of madagascar. we also have a small proportion of storms that have always historically tracked south of madagascar and moved south into the mozambique channel, and there is a greater chance of those types of storms forming and moving in that particular path. and then, if we look at mozambique, it means a greater probability of storms being able to make landfall in southern regions of mozambique, rather than purely in the central regions of mozambique. and that means that there s also risk for south africa, not in terms of having a direct landfall of a tropical cyclone at this point in time, but if we consider that tropical cyclones have a diameter of 100 500 kilometres, that those storm bands can really affect south africa more than they would ve in the past because of the southward displacement. i m back inside the national coastwatch institution station here at the needles on the isle of wight, and the views here are fantastic, i tell you. you can see right acros
in mozambique, with flooding rains spreading into neighbouring countries, including malawi. this man from madagascar works for a charity helping people in the aftermath of the cyclones, which he says have had a devastating impact. translation: this year | is proving really traumatic for people. every year, we know these are recurrent phenomena but this year, between 190 and 200 people have already died in the five storms we have had in madagascar. it s really traumatic, and that changes people s perception about climate change. scientists say that although the frequency of storms here is not increasing, there has been an exponential growth in the most intense cyclones and warmer ocean water may be changing their paths, pushing them southwards. madagascar, northern madagascar, central madagascar has always been exposed to tropical cyclones. it would mean a greater risk
historically tracked south of madagascar and moved south into the mozambique channel, and there is a greater chance of those types of storms forming and moving in that particular path. and then, if we look at mozambique, it means a greater probability of storms being able to make landfall in southern regions of mozambique, rather than purely in the central regions of mozambique. and that means that there s also risk for south africa, not in terms of having a direct landfall of a tropical cyclone at this point in time, but if we consider that tropical cyclones have a diameter of 100 500 kilometres, that those storm bands can really affect south africa more than they would ve in the past because of the southward displacement. i m back inside the national coastwatch institution station here at the needles on the isle of wight, and the views here are fantastic, i tell you. you can see right across the south coast of england, all the way to anvil head there about 15 nautical miles away. a
cyclones, the same type of storm as hurricanes, occurfrom november to april here. some go on to make landfall in mozambique, with flooding rains spreading into neighbouring countries, including malawi. madagascan livah rabearison works for a charity helping people in the aftermath of the cyclones, which he says have had a devastating impact. translation: this year | is proving really traumatic for people. every year, we know these are recurrent phenomena but this year, between 190 and 200 people have already died in the five storms we ve had in madagascar. it s really traumatic, and that changes people s perception about climate change. scientists say that although the frequency of storms here is not increasing, there has been an exponential growth in the most intense cyclones and warmer ocean water may be changing their paths, pushing them southwards. madagascar, northern madagascar, central madagascar has always been exposed to tropical cyclones. it would mean a greater risk for sout
it certainly is really disheartening to see my own country being on fire one year and then, within another two years, it s being flooded out. in saying that, we have always been a land of extremes. you know, there is a famous poem here that australia is a place of drought and flooding rains, and that is precisely what we have seen. so, we do tip this see saw fairly regularly, you know, maybe a couple of times in a decade, but the extremity of it, that is that i wouldn t say it s a surprise but that is the most concerning factor that we have gone from literally the south east of australia burning to literally, the south east of australia flooding. so, the extremes that we have seen of lately, while they have been unprecedented, currently speaking, in the future, they will no longer be unprecedented they will be something more like normal. now, that is not to say that they will occur every single summer because especially in australia, we can flip from really dry conditions to re