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The level of poverty in the U.S. will fall by roughly half this year, due almost entirely to the increase in government aid provided during the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a new analysis by a team of researchers at the Urban Institute.
Looking at the effects of the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan Act, which provided a range of benefits including direct payments, enhanced unemployment aid and refundable child tax credits, the researchers estimate that the poverty rate will fall to 7.7% in 2021 a huge drop from the 13.9% rate estimated for 2018, and the largest single-year reduction on record. In raw numbers, about 20 million fewer people are living in poverty due to the programs in the ARPA.
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