Present some sort of model for the future course the coronavirus is expected to take. 180,000, overr 3000 people have died. I want to bring in our whatd you miss . Cohost romaine bostick. The s p had been rallying. What is the reason for the downward move today . Is it simply that there are no more places to hide . Romaine if you look at the higher,hat had moved defensive stocks, a lot of crowding. The worst quarter for the dow jones since 1987, the worst for the s p since 2008. Same thing for the nasdaq composite. The nasdaq 100 held up a little bit better. We are down about 14 on the nasdaq 100 for the quarter that just ended today, about 6 other than the s p and about 9 better than the dow. Over the course of the quarter, you had names like netflix and tesla rally more than 20 . Some of those large cap Genetic Sciences companies, those moving higher as well as gilead sciences. The in mind, a big reason nasdaq was down, we talk about this being a tech index but it has nontech names i
What is behind this a rally . Can it continue . Good morning, gentlemen. Paul, ill start with you. Valuations getting stretched here im a little bit worried about the valuations in tech, and ive been at this game a long, long time. Fundamentals are okay. Fundamentals might even be accelerating a tad from last year but when you take a look at the valuations of some of the marquee names that you mentioned in the teaser, particularly tesla and apple, im worried interesting okay joel, how about you . Given some of the names we just mentioned, in your coverage universe, what do you like the most at these levels good morning. Thanks for having me on. Obviously with tech you want to be a lot more selective and who the winners and losers are going to be. I think apple is to the upside, but 13 times to 24 times the span of 12 months is getting a little rich. I think the 5g hype could get a little ahead of itself, especially 5g as a utility is limited in the foreseeable future i look for names i
President biden imposes limits on u. S. Investments in china. Alibaba returns to growth across all of the main divisions, defying chinas economic turbulence. We will take a deeper look at the Supreme Court ruling in the epic case siding with apple, at least for now. The other big story was inflation, gaining 0. 2 last month. The slowest pace of gains for two years. The market starts thinking about the fed and then says maybe the fed will skip a rate hike in the next meeting. Why do we care about the fed . Higher rates discount the valuations for future cash flows for names on the nasdaq 100. The main text the main tech index outperforming but we are basically treading water. The other big risk as it is bitcoin. We are the same level we have out for two weeks. The u. S. 10 year yield climbing back up. Remember the story we keep reiterating. Yields have been coming slightly lower from 4. 2 on the 10 year to now nero took now nearer to 4 . The earnings story is disney. So many stories in
That comes up against the weak anecdotes we keep hearing about. The beige book did not sound like the robust economy. I dont know what you are hearing from the companies and everything. It is not robust news. The question becomes not so much the strong Third Quarter. The question is in the Fourth Quarter and if the fed wants and needs a slowdown to feel comfortable about inflation. I dont know if we have the problabilities available. The first is the tenyear note which is darn close to 5 . 4. 98 was the top overnight. It is now down a bit. The second is limited or almost no chance. Quickly, ill give you the probability. 5. 7 for november. It jumps up to 39 for december. Then it is 47 for january. If you hear from the companies, mike, i say most of the ceos are concerned about what is coming. Generally, that is true. If you get a slowdown, it doesnt usually happen precipitously. I think the market wants the ability to try to start to focus fully on companies and on exactly how the busin
Im kriti gupta in london. Tensions in the middle east ratcheting higher after hundreds are killed in a gaza City Hospital blast. Hamas and israel trade blame. President joe biden is set to arrive in the region but will no longer meet with the leaders of jordan, egypt, and the Palestinian Authority after they all pull out a vase of it. A summit. Country garden on the brink of its first default and says it is unlikely to honor offshore payments on time which will feed into concerns over chinas Economic Outlook despite betterthanexpected data. The idea that markets see different crosscurrents and china at the core of it. You are seeing the chinese trade of low volume. A quick check on futures. Risk sentiment is decidedly lower against something that will be coming off the asia session. Your stoxx 50 futures down 0. 3 . Euro stocks 50 futures down 0. 3 . You are not necessarily saying a defensive bid. Nasdaq 100 futures down 0. 2 . Asia is setting the tone for this mornings grade. Trade. T