all right. who s the first victim? matt, what is your prediction? cruz wins the nomination by a nose over trump. the gop convention is a literally bloody affair, there will be at least one reporter walking around with a bloody nose. literally? yes, literally, and hillary wins in a landslide and the libertarian votes will get the most it s ever had. the republican party has to reckon whether it s a nativist party, a party for white people particularly white men but white people and the trump campaign has brought out these kind of implicit and these undercurrents of race and made it more explicit that he is defending the white, what used to be the white majority, it s the minority now against incursions of other people. i think this is the year the republican party especially if he gets the nomination which matt says he won t so i feel better, especially if he gets