When it comes to the answer, there is both cause for hope and also worried concern, as the answer is intertwined with the National Unity Government (NUG) and its relations with the Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAO), and the cold, hard fact that many resistance groups or People’s Defence Forces (PDF) are poorly armed, and experimenting with home-made rifles and improvised explosive devices (IED).
From the outset it was quite clear that Myanmar junta leader Min Aung Hlaing's peace call on 22 April was a piecemeal intervention to lift the tremendous military and political pressures on him and his coup-maker regime to drive a wedge between the ethnic-democratic forces, rather than to strive for genuine peace, reconciliation and political settlement.