effect as well. sure that would have had a knock-on effect as well- effect as well. yes, people wouldn t have isolated effect as well. yes, people wouldn t have isolated if effect as well. yes, people wouldn t have isolated if they effect as well. yes, people wouldn t have isolated if they didn t - effect as well. yes, people wouldn t have isolated if they didn t think i have isolated if they didn t think they were positive and those families who did lose relatives won t know for sure if they are tied up won t know for sure if they are tied up in this? won t know for sure if they are tied u- in this? ., . won t know for sure if they are tied u- in this? . , , ,, ., up in this? that is the big unknown. obviously one up in this? that is the big unknown. obviously one case up in this? that is the big unknown. obviously one case leads up in this? that is the big unknown. obviously one case leads to - up in this? that is the big unknown. | obviously one case leads to another. a
same with protection against infection. the daily reported cases, the seven day underlying average, actually flattening off a bit across the uk, which is possibly better news than we have had in the last week also. when it comes to hospital admissions, they are falling in london, the rising in other parts of england, going up in scotland and wales and down in northern ireland. so it is a bit of a mixed picture, a little bit uncertain. one of the modellers who advises the government s expert advisory committee told me today that he was hoping that the peak in hospital admissions would be below what it was in january last year, admissions would be below what it was injanuary last year, despite the pessimistic predictions before christmas that it could be higher. but he added there is still dated that we need to get into be sure of that, and that relates to the amount of people mixing over new year, and then children coming back to schools in the last week, people coming back into work pl
wanted were chuntering at the same time. i wanted to were chuntering at the same time. i wanted to calm it down, i want is to use language that is appropriate to this chamber. so, please, make sure that we this chamber. so, please, make sure that we treat this chamber. so, please, make sure that we treat each other with the respect that we treat each other with the respect that i expect from all of you going respect that i expect from all of you going forward. i respect that i expect from all of you going forward. respect that i expect from all of you going forward. i can graduate the prime minister you going forward. i can graduate the prime minister on you going forward. i can graduate the prime minister on his - you going forward. i can graduate l the prime minister on his balanced approach, unlike that of some other people in this house. there is increasing concern amongst epidemiologists, modellers, scientists about the use of modelling and forecasts. amongst the co
sage and some the government modellers, they were so wide of the mark, and i think that that there are big questions to be asked about why it took such a pessimistic view and why even their best case scenario was worse than what has actually happened, and i think the evidence has been that 0micron, for people who have been vaccinated, is a relatively minor illness, and if yes look at those who have been hospitalised, those who have been in hospitalised, those who have been in hospital for hospitalised, those who have been in hospitalfor any hospitalised, those who have been in hospital for any length o of time, those who have been many intensive care it is very largely those who are unvaccinated. it is unreasonable to keep the whole country locked down because some refuse to get a vaccine that has been offered for free by the nhs. but vaccine that has been offered for free by the nhs. vaccine that has been offered for free by the nhs. but are there any mitigations free by the nhs. b
well, reeta, the group of scientific modellers who advised the sage group of experts published papers today showing projections of hospital admissions falling further through to the first week of march, perhaps half of where they are now, and daily reported deaths also falling, so government sources feel this is a pretty benign backdrop to the big announcement expected on monday. borisjohnson has already said that legal restrictions are subject to the data will come to an end, including the legal requirement to self isolate for anyone testing positive. but there is a big question over the future of free lateral flow test. it seems highly likely a date will be set for when they will come to an end. that s not clear exactly when it ll be, and there will be protections for certain vulnerable groups to carry on getting free lateral flow test. ministers feel this is an essential move to opening up and living with covid, but there is a warning from scientific modellers that if you try