We saw a stronger fix, some signs of trying to anchor the moves we have seen. Watching the likes of indonesia coming online. We are looking at another day of gains for jakarta. Hang seng, slightly under pressure as we wait for the npc to vote on that National Security legislation this afternoon. Former,ei is the upper seeing a fourth day of gains for Japanese Equities on the reopening. Currencies, hong kong dollar is the focus. You look at pokechecked seeing 775 but speculators are out there. The korean won seeing weakness. And then going lower after the bok cut rates for the record low. Lashed their growth outlook. You look at the weakness in the renminbi, that is not really translated. It is pretty much unchanged for some time. We are watching the euro as well after we saw some fiscal stimulus plan, it should be a big deal for the currency, the euro hitting the strongest level in two months. Watching oil which did extent losses, saw a surprise jump in the u. S. Crude stockpiles with
Future and later, President Trump says the time for negative Interest Rates is now. So were breaking out our crystal ball to see what the market will look like in a world of negative rates and we start with the market selloff the stocks tumbling after the path forward is highly uncertain and subject to many downside risks. The prolonged recession and weak recovery can discourage business advancement and expansion further limiting the growth of jobs and the pace of technological advancement. The result could be an extended period of low productivity growth and stagnant incomes. And then theres this, Stanley Drunkenmiller telling the Economic Club of new york that the risk reward for equities may be as bad as hes ever seen and scott telling scott wapner that this may be the second most overvalued market hes ever experienced so did the markets just get a big dose of reality, guy first of all, i know youre not in charge of music at cnbcs fast money and im getting ready for the twitter hatr
Haslinda, what are you seeing . Haslinda Industrial Production coming from march showing a strong recovery momentum. We saw what happened in march. It is pulling back from a historical plunge in the first two months of the year. Still there are some challenges if you take a look at the supply chain. China still faces supply risks from a global lucked out. Factory production global lockdown. Factory production still shut down in many parts. Bloomberg intelligence saying 70 of chinas imports were used for production in 2015. Still strong numbers in terms of Industrial Production coming in at 3. 9 versus the estimate of 1. 5 . If you want to track the trajectory Going Forward, we have to track those economies like korea, japan, taiwan. They supply china with the most technology parts, the u. S. And germany, even brazil. As long as they are not emerging from the lockdown in their respective countries, it wont be in issue for chinas own production. Industrial production for china year on ye
Basis points. Lets get to our guest now. We have a very fascinating guest right now. Ed hyman, Institutional Investor economist of the year for decades. The surveys he carries out are unparalleled in the industry. We are going to talk about Central Banks, the ecb, and the fed meeting this week, and the bank of japan coming out with some decisions today. Chairman of evercore isi, is with us now. Small and mediumsized enterprises, and companies that do business is with china. Obviously, the data is falling off a cliff right now, but in your estimation, what will the severity of this recession be in comparison to, say, 2008 . Ed much worse. But this is a very interesting time for me. Ive probably been the most bearish person on the street with our gdp numbers down 50 , and like you say, things have been kind of freefall, Company Surveys included. I just wanted to share with you that for the past two weeks, our surveys have increased a little retailers and restaurants. The checks that were
The s p 500 are lower. Wti trading at 5. 31. We have a lot to discuss about the oil markets. The 40s and staying there. The dollar index inching ever higher. Sticking with the oil markets, we had that etf halted earlier today, as it was tapped out. Lets take a deeper dive in the oil market with taylor riggs. Taylor as you mentioned, a risk off tone across the board even as we look across asset. High yield of debt is down, so is copper. 10 year yields down to 56 basis points or so. The lowest yields going back to march. The dollar is stronger, treasuries are stronger. Dollar is ruling in this time of stress. Something else going on in the oil markets, on the uso etf, it was briefly halted for volatility trading. It is now reopened but we are still down. It does reflect the changes we have seen in the wti contract. It has been plummeting along with the price of oil. If you look at the chart im showing in my terminal, something wonky is going on in the etf market, given there is such a ru