people, the quote billionaire. and i m i mean, we all of us in michigan, i live them, i vote there. we re all doing what we can do in the next 50 hours to make sure michigan stays blue. it s funny because i remember talking to i m trying to think who it was. i think it was mitch stewart who was the battleground state s director for the obama campaign. it was fairly early in this campaign. one of the things he said, he said we overperformed in michigan because of the auto rescue and romney s opposition to it. it was real stark there for those voters because barack obama had done the auto rescue and mitt romney essentially drop dead, it s a mistake. he thought the was going to be a lower margin this time around because it was sort of artificially high around that issue. right, because obama used to say, you know, we kill ed that, we saved detroit.
i mean, we all of us in michigan i live there, i vote there. we re all doing what we can do in the next, you know, 50 hours to make sure mesh stays blue. it s funny because i remember talking to i m trying to think who it was. i talked to mitch stewart, who is the battleground director for the obama campaign. one of the things he said, says we overperformed in michigan because of the auto rescue and romney s opposition to it. it was real stark there. yeah. barack obama had done the auto rescue, and mitt romney, you know, essentially drop dead, it s a mistake. he thought that it was going to be a lower margin this time around because it was artificially high around that issue? obama used to say, you know, we killed bin laden, but we saved detroit. right. they never saved detroit. general motors bin laden
there. we re all doing what we can do in the next, you know, 50 hours to make sure mesh stays blue. it s funny because i remember talking to i m trying to think who it was. i talked to mitch stewart, who is the battleground director for the obama campaign. one of the things he said, says we overperformed in michigan because of the auto rescue and romney s opposition to it. it was real stark there. yeah wrr. barack obama had done the auto rescue, and mitt romney, you know, essentially drop dead, it s a mistake. he thought that it was going to be a lower margin this time around because it was artificially high around that issue? obama used to say, you know, we killed bin laden, but we saved detroit. right. they never saved detroit. general motors bin laden is dead. now, detroit, i mean a lot of good things are happening in
ten people would vote for barack obama. 90 for mitt romney. you look at that and then you also look at your turnout score. how likely are you to vote if somebody were not to remind you? you have a score of 100-1 on every single voter in that state. what you want to do with early vote, in most states, you want your supporters who have a middling turnout score, folks you aren t superconfident they will vote on election day unless you remind them. you want them to vote early. if somebody lass a high turnout score, irrespective if you remind them or not. you have the two scores. how likely am i to support the candidate that mitch stewart is supporting which would be barack obama you want people you are sure will vote for your candidate but in the middle of the propensity to turn out bau you can work on them in this sort of sustained fashion for this period and make sure they get in their own time and
score, irrespective if you remind them or not. you have the two scores. how likely am i to support the candidate that mitch stewart is supporting which would be barack obama you want people you are sure will vote for your candidate but in the middle of the propensity to turn out bau you can work on them in this sort of sustained fashion for this period and make sure they get in their own time and choosing. that s exactly right. not only do you measure your success from a field operation, you also measure your opponent s success and who are they getting to turn out early? are these getting out election day voters and just doing it early or are they reaching into the people who would be less likely to participate so they re growing their pie? so you look at both. you can do something like in 2012, say in a state like nevada, your campaign basically knew who won nevada before election day. you will have 80% of nevadans