saw in the past couple days because we have milder air in advance of this system. so a lot of what falls here at least in the southern tier of the country will be all about rainfall and not snowfall. but notice back toward the north, still parts of 18 states and about 40 million under winter weather advisories, some winter storm warnings, even a small pocket across eastern colorado that has blizzard warnings in place. but notice much of this is rainfall. washington, boston, new york, all looking at rainfall the next couple of days. you have to work your way toward the upper midwest and interior new england to see enough cold air to support snow showers. even that the hour, we re seeing windchills down to as low as 40 below across portions of new england. new york city with brisk winds, about minus 1 the windchill. but again, arctic air is replaced, we get a mild surge of air back behind it even colder air going in towards this
my canary in the coal mine is tennessee senate. this is one of the more unique findings we have. let me put up the top lines. we ve got marsha blackburn up five, but take a look at their personal ratings. there s no other race like this. his personal ratings are much higher than her personal ratings. not by a little bit, that happens every once in a while. his net positive image is 13 points. her image is actually minus 1. it s technically under water. she s always been a little bit of a polarizing figure, but if that slice of skeptical trump voter, the hold your nose trump voter decides they don t like the tone, this about the one race and one candidate that i think is prepared to take advantage of it. that tide that receded and is coming back in, for a time it looked like it was coming back for governor bredesen as well. one of the things we saw in 2016
it s our healthcare. can i say it? what s in your wallet? it is unprecedented for a supreme court nominee to go on tv like brett kavanaugh did tonight in the middle of his supreme court confirmation process. but here s a reason why he and his wife might have done that fox news interview tonight. fox news has just release adnew poll about his nomination. this is the third time fox has pulled on him as a court n nominee. the first time he had net support of plus 6. then last month he d fallen from plus 6 to minus 1. and as of today he s down to minus 10 in the fox news poll. 50% of people say don t confirm him. brett kavanaugh minus 10 overall with everybody. with women specifically he s minus 21. with independents he s minus 26.
tv like brett kavanaugh did tonight in the middle of his supreme court confirmation process, but here s the reason why he and his wife might have done that fox interview tonight. fox news has just released a new poll on his nomination. this is the third time they ve polled his nomination. the first time in july he got a plus 6, then he had a minus 1, now he s all the way down to minus 10. 38% say confirm him, 32% say don t. with support of all, he s 34%, don t support, 55%. by a 25% margin, people say yes, the senate should at least delay his confirmation and allow
of 4%, 5%, or 6%. you and i had this conversation. i think i once promised to wear a dress for a week if certain pro predictions came through. i said i would grow an afro. in a would be fun. it would be fun to have 4, 5 or 6%. that s not really a reasonable expeks tags. i think you could have a craft quarter like that. capital spending boom is continuing. but second, a reduction in inventories took about a percent off the gdp number. if we had normal inventories, then it would have been a 5% number like the president said. and as you know, if you like have firms running down their inventories in one quarter, that s pretty optimistic for the second half of the year. i think that having 3.1 over the first half of the year and having the second quarter be above 4 with a sort of minus 1% from inventories means the cea