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did a few seconds ago. very surprising to everyone if this is white smoke at this early point in the conclave. it would indicate that probably one of the three or four frontrunners actually gained enough traction in the initial ballots to go over the top quite early. and i think what we re talking about here is cardinal scola of mila milan. again, we should repeat, it is hard to tell if the smoke is, in fact, white or black. it is a rather gray color right now. cokie, reminiscent, of course, of both the conclaves of 2005 and 1978 when it did confuse a world s media here in st. peter s square. again, we should also point out, we re not hearing the bells