You have that poll in the wall stre street journal and maybe the stock market considering maybe we wont have a contested lebs if the polling tells you anything accurate about where this race truly is what do you think investors should be taking from this move . I think thats correct. I think the two primary drivers for the higher market today are certainly the fiscal spending and what it equates to in the near term and the dynamic in the market for a trade and investors to extap larapolate is a rise i yields were finally seeing a welcome rise in yields and that is certainly on the belief of both of those actions i mentioned previously you have that to consider and how you want to trade that it has a direct impact perhaps on growth versus value, the polling on the upcoming election and were thinking about the president s health and what all of this means for the Campaign Going forward. So youve got a number of things in there. Lets start with yields. Rates being 0. 74 as a new high or r
Like it is getting down through thursday lows. We are seeing pressure. I love covering the markets. Europe is a snooze fest from an equity market point of view. There is nothing happening. Light volumes. Market trapped in a tight rein from an equity point of view curate we are going nowhere in a hurry. The Energy Sector is reasonably well bid but not spectacularly. The euro is back towards the middle of its risk range. Brent catching a bigger bed. We have the opec note coming out later this week. Reports worth paying attention to. Overnight, we do not see much out of china. You are seeing a little bit in terms of the nasdaq. Alix yes. That is a good point. He saw mike wilsons note at morgan stanley. He came out in the note last week talking about it was a pull forward of demand for tech where sustained acceleration. If there is a pull forward, how much earnings estimates increase can you see in 2021 . You also wonder moving into cyclicals, may be moving into cyclicals and out of the gr
Joe, you tell me first, whats going to be the determining factor this month for stocks i think were going to need to see some value. Were going to have to see energy and financials come around i know i am asking for a lot to see those sectors participate. To your comments at the top of the show about the month of august and the impact that it has, went back and studied the last ten years and in the last ten years, if you did go and purchase or enter the market at the low point in august, at the end of the year, in each instance, except 2018, you were rewarded for that. I would be concerned if we dont see a correction because thats the set up in 2018 we never got the august correction and we set ourselves up for a really bad fall id like to see a bit of a correction i would like to see financials and value and energy participate here i think thats going to be important but any type of correction, the history of the last decade tells you thats an opportunity to be a buyer thinking forwar
For jobs that coming up friday, it is stunning deliver depression across the developed countries. The labor depression across the developed countries. Francine there is this raging debate we have been trying to focus on bloomberg surveillance for two weeks, inflation or deflation. I think the one thing we need to try and figure out is when does job creation comeback . Will we ever come back to the to what we had even 12 months ago or will a lot of the jobs be lost and therefore you need some kind of schemes to retrain people, to put them in other jobs . How and what the legacy of this covid19 illness will be for how the economy changes is critical in trying to make sure people get back to work. Tom you really saw the tension over the weekend. Prime minister johnson dealing with the United Kingdom and that idea of a locked, certainly, we are that last night from the president at the lincoln memorial. Here is viviana hurtado. Viviana we begin with president donald trump, is many as 100,0
Today. Lets go to the boards were not at the best levels of the day. Nonethele nonetheless, were hoelding onto pretty good dangains. The dow is up. Nasdaq has some profit taking today. Its been the big winner apple and microsoft and amazon giving a bit back along with some of the other names as well. Pete, im going to come to you first. Youre the one who had more stocks than you had in a long time where do you see things now . Friday have generally not been great because no one want toed go into the weekend feeling long then you had the gilead news last night you have boeing starting next week you have more plans to reopen even in a slow fashion where does this lead us as we head into the weekend . I think people want know how they should be positioned thinking about what could happen next week. Its nice to have a light at the end of the tunnel, so to speak, or something. Some sort of light thats what we got out of gilead last night we had move last night long before this morning. We w