Major amples we saw a surge in cases for example, in other parts of the country that had not been as hard hit jim, i can go through a list of things this morning that perhaps would give investors pause in a different environment, whether it be beijing, and the recent closure of schools there as they deal with a surge in cases it is only 137 but nonetheless. Flights also there we will get the update from beijing. Layoffs at the likes of at t or hilton quest giving us gooit guidance that still speaks to the weakness of that business. Yet here we are with potentially another rally in store a half hour from now. David, all of those things you just mentioned were things that maybe we expected to happen im looking at 25 pieces of research that i have sent to you in synopsis, the vast majority of them are raising price targets. Why . Because the targets were slashed before we knew that the Federal Reserve was going to back stop all of these companies so the Federal Reserve is saying if you ar
Dow surging 461 points, s p gaining 1. 21 , nasdaq advancing 1. 31 . The s p up for 2020 now including a 47. 5 gain from the march lows im repeating that, a 47. 5 gain from the march lows. All of the airlines, arent that he mazing . They wont quit. Some goes for the cruise lines, the hotels earnings who needs earnings bother me later. The casinos are on fire. Who can resist now that theyre open again oils warring. The price of crude up 75 from that bizarre bargain, take some will you, this is a vshaped recovery like this, and then theres boeing, up more than 150 from its lows in march. 12 move today the biggest winner of the dow and best month ever can you imagine, humor me for a second, could you imagine if they got some orders it all makes sense even if this run all the recovery stocks are low, so theyre off the highs, and thats why its easy to see why theyre so irresistible since we have no faces here. Buy, buy, buy and any earnings can spoil the party but there are none that said,
Timing, the pace, the safety of this economic reopening. Right i think that at this point, we know that the v is off the table. The struggle here is whether we have a ushaped recovery or whether we dont have a recovery and i keep coming back to there are two things that can happen you get a vaccine, and youll have a vee you dont get a vaccine and youll have an l and i think on days like today when you see the unemployed numbers, you say to yourself, without a vaccine, this is going to be a very, very long slog, just like what chairman powell said yesterday chairman powell is giving you the straight stuff and this number should not be a surprise to people who listened to him yesterday when you think about a vaccine this week, jim, we have heard promising comments from pfizer and j j today, the novartis ceo saying its likely a second half 2021 story. What do we believe i think its second half 2021 if at all. Its a very, very difficult virus. But you know, that may just mean when you look
And a thousand times a day without thinking about it. At least thats how it feels right now. The inevitability of this outbreak is starting to sink in. What does the fed do it gives us a rate cut a 50 basis point rate cut. Reaction hey, condition rate cut. And it was a resounding texas hud. Ultimately the dow fell 786 points and 2. 189 so why did we get that illnesses, cancellations and this epidemic and im beginning to feel just in what has just been cancelled the emails that i get and the notes from Different Companies that is a shutdown it doesnt change that its not a cure. Its not a hazmat suit or respirator it does absolutely nothing to impact the spread of the virus it somehow boosts Business Confidence i did care about the rate cut. I cared about how wrong it was its totally a sign of the panic from the fed. And a rate cut i say this as someone thats been addiment that easy money is a good thing im probably the biggest single proponent of lower Interest Rates on the entire spect
Achieve strong Sustainable Growth and safeguard against downside risks. The group offered no specific actions to combat the virus. How disappointing was that look, i think this is the same problem, central bankers are dealing with a biological problem that is then going to spill over to economics, probably means fiscal help what are we talking about here lets talk about restaurant closing, malls closing how about the people who work at the places, thinly capitalized companies that are supposed to pay these people Steve Liesman i worked with him this morning, excellent drop in there, par suited into their office one point the Federal Reserve was saying well stand back behind people whose insurance for instance isnt paid off for a hurricane. I think that its up to treasury and incumbent upon treasury to say were going to work with Small Business, if you have a problem, you can come to us, because thats where the real pain is going to be. We dont want the only retailer to be walmart when