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look at this by the numbers. this is 2012 exit policy for the obama performance and this is the quinnipiac poll where clinton is now. she s running a little ahead where the president was among white voters, but a little below the president among white voters. she s running a little below the president with men. that s a warning sign for her, donald trump as well. running about even, slightly ahead of the president with women. here s where this is going to come into play. not just north carolina, but here s when i it s a message state. what about white voters with college degrees? she s running a little ahead of president obama there and specifically among white women with college degrees, ten points ahead of where president obama was in 2012. that is the key here. if hillary clinton runs up these numbers here and keeps it close, the trade-offs, she s plus down here to make up for the minuses down here. she ll probably squeak it out in north carolina and that blocks trump. how does tr

President obamaQuinnipiac pollBrexit policyNorth carolinaDonald trumpWarning signMessage stateLets say hillary clintonCollege degreesDidnt voteNumber oneBlocks trumpTrade offs