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increase voter turnout which generally is good for democrats. you can see in some of the early numbers of return ballots that democrats have a small persistent lead, i don t know what numbers are today, which is historically good because they don t usually have the lead in the state prior to election day. so colorado is a really tough one. nick s basically right, which is that if trump is going to get a state from clinton, it s most likely to be in the upper midwest, the rust belt. places like michigan or wisconsin. i think the wisconsin marquette poll yesterday was deflating for them in that sense. if you talk to people in the clinton camp orbit, this whole debate over arizona, it s an interesting one. some people actually view arizona as closer than iowa which gives you a sense of how the race is shaping up which is that states with hispanic population are going for her and states with a working class white population are trending towards him.

Union democraticReturn ballotsVoter turnoutDonald trumpNew york stateBill clintonUpper midwestNicholas confessoreRust beltMarquette pollUnited states of americaWorking class white population