LOKB, STWO, LSAQ Announce SPAC Deals
An unusually busy SPAC Friday with three deals and GAMC announcing full over-allotment exercised by underwriters. Will it be enough to change the narrative?
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More on the deals here:
Could 3 Positively Received Deals Change the Narrative?
We ve been saying that it will take multiple positive events for the SPAC mood and overall narrative to change. Is it possible that a triple of deals on Friday will all be positively received and start to turn the narrative? GAMC announcing that their full over-allotment was exercised could also boost the narrative a bit.
That said, it will be a tough shift as yesterday the average pre-deal SPAC closed at $9.88, well off of NAV and almost 85% of SPACs with announced deals traded down.
SPACs Get Beat Up Again
SPACs are getting increasingly battered as IPOs are scarce, pre-deal SPACs fall consistently below NAV, and announced deals continue to weaken. EV SPACs got hammered as two deals closed.
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Another rough day for SPACs as
the average price for a pre-deal SPAC is now down to $9.88. SPACs with announced deals fared even worse with
almost 85% trading down today.
This morning did see one M&A announcement (see below), but that brings the week s total to just two announced and neither impressed.
It s clear the pace will remain slow until peak deal - i.e. when the 420+ SPACs that are searching for targets and feeling the pressure - forces the hand of the SPACs. Those SPACs are trading at an
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to SuRo Capital s first-quarter 2021 earnings call. [Operator instructions] This call is being recorded today, Wednesday, May 5, 2021. I will now turn the conference over to today s speaker, Adam Bates of SuRo Capital.
Please go ahead.
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you for joining us on today s call. I am joined today by the chairman and chief executive officer of SuRo Capital, Mark Klein; and chief financial officer, Allison Green. Please note that a slide presentation that corresponds to today s prepared remarks by management is available on our website at www.surocap.com under Investor Relations, Events and Presentations. Today s call is being recorded and broadcast live on our website www.surocap.com.
Will Honest s IPO Take More Shine Off SPACs?
Muted SPAC M&A pops could spark a shift back to the traditional, longer IPO process for private companies. Hoffman and Pincus file for 4th SPAC.
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Are Traditional IPOs Back in Favor?
The SPAC boom was partly fueled by the myriad of advantages that private companies were given by choosing SPAC as their path to public markets, to name a few:
- a faster/far less arduous offering process
- ability to sell investors on
future projections
Following
The Honest Company (HNST) highly successful day-1 IPO, it s fair to ask if more companies will follow their patient lead in the traditional IPO process. They were famously an early unicorn and then, infamously, lost their unicorn status in a down financing round. Yet the company ultimately recovered, and now are close to profitability and have a $2B valuation after closing yesterday up +44%.
What s Next for SPACs
With prices, mood, interest, IPO valuation, and deal valuations all coming down, SPAC investors are asking what comes next.
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SPACs joined Tuesday s tech selloff with the average price of a pre-deal SPAC hitting $9.90 that s 10 cents below NAV. It s ironic that in a SPAC market that is much more rational (and tradable) than during peak SPAC earlier this year investors have lost much of their enthusiasm.
Volume across the board has gone down for SPACs with an
average daily volume dropping from 580,000 in February dropping to 104,000 in April. In some ways this is good as the higher volumes were partly a sign of some irrational SPAC exuberance, but at these levels investors will be very worried about efficiently pricing as they get in / out of SPACs.