a grade, john berman. the race for the republican presidential nomination is growing tighter by the day. take a look the this. just released national quinnipiac poll, donald trump and dr. ben carson locked in a dead heat as the top choice of republican voters. let s get straight to athena jones with more on these numbers. good morning, michaela. this poll is different from two other national polls out in recent days that had carson opening up a lead. but it s still more evidence that the race is shifting. trump and carson are neck and neck. they re within the poll s margin error. when you compare the numbers to september, trouble s numbers are pretty much unchanged but that carson and ted cruz have each gained six points and marco rubio has jumped five points to third place. meanwhile, jeb bush, you can see there is way down at 4%. he s lost six points in that time. there s more bad news in this poll for bush. he has the worst net unfavorability numbers of any
you were performing in the latest debate with bobby jindal and lindsay graham and rick santorum. right. monmouth university still has you at 1%. right. so it s your druthers that you d like to be on the main stage tus ling with the bigger candidates and how do you think that moderators can handle 15, 16 plus people on the stage. you can t. you can t. it makes sense to have two debates but you do seven and seven. selected more randomly. you look at those numbers or the poll numbers, i m at 1%. almost nobody is above 3%. it s all within the margin error. at this early stage, the national polls are more name i.d. and money. and i haven t been in public office for a while and not a lot of money to run ads but i think it s about ideas, your vision and able to bring the country together and if i have the chance to get the message out there i m confident those numbers will go way up. rand paul is not above 3% on
contest. in iowa, the quinnipiac shows that hillary clinton comes in behind the same three republicans but governor bush s lead is in the margin error. and in the state of virginia each gop candidate is ahead, again in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup today. the polls just say all three matchups are really too close to call. analysts say it s still notable because voters there elected longtime clinton friend and fund-raiser terry mcauliffe as governor. in each of these swing states voters said they do not think hillary clinton is honest and trustworthy. of course it s still early and three states to win the white house. if the poll is threatening to the hillary clinton campaign it s equally for donald trump. leading the national polls for gop nomination has the worst favorability rating of any candidate in those swing states.
telephone. about 60,000 of them and then they extrapolate from there. i have got to tell you a lot of these folks, in fact, about half were part timers. normally when we think about job creation, we don t count the part timers. very interesting. some of those jobs i also read were temporary seasonal jobs as well. they are already building up for the retail season. let me ask you this, what do you say to those people who question whether or not these numbers are legit. a lot of people are saying that the government is i can cooking the books here. let me tell you they get those kind of accusations all the time. here is the deal. the only number that really counts in this report is the 114,000 number. that matches what wall street expected in what with what most believe happen. the household number i mentioned before, the big 800,000 number, it has a margin error of 400,000. so it could be off by half. so big difference, big debates going on with these numbers tonight, harris. harr
on the battleground states. governor romney in florida, how does that state look to you? guest: it is a poll-driven decision to go to florida and as i stated down if miami, i thought that mitt romney had left florida and did not address the issues of florida voters, with a florida survey showing president obama plus one in florida, and, again, in the margin error and other surveys have romney by one but it is a toss up. the problem for the president is 46 percent to 47 percent, are the numbers and we know from trends the antiobama vote is probably going to exceed what he gets in florida and potentially ohio, as well. neil: so that means tipping both states to romney? guest: and it makes virginia and colorado all the more