meeting each other as essentially tied for the first time. a better thing to keep in mind is there is still a ton of movement, for changes beyond just national polling, particularly if you logistic at, say, iowa. in a poll this weekend, iowa is a three-way dead heat with mayor pete buttigieg putting up a solid number in fourth place. it s easy to forget how much an early victory can alter people s perceptions of these race, especially when you re this many months out. we ll talk about the dynamics going into tomorrow night s debate, i want to bring in strategist margie o meara, and snyder. the polling seems to show one thing indisputably. warren is growing. she has picked up support. she has enlarged her coalition. she still hases on calls. right now can she essentially take some of those biden voters away? is that how you see it? you re right. there has been a trend where she s gained steam over the last few weeks and months. i think we should caution. i know you mentioned this, but
nominees, then i don t know what they think their job. talking about kavanaugh allegations and the midterms, erin carmaker money and margie o meara, a democratic pollster. let me say it s a very serious allegation here. there is a substantive question about how to get to the truth. this is also being conducted in a political setting where there are politics about how this proceeds and how this plays. how do you view the politics broadly of where we are right now? well, i think there is no question that we would be having a hearing on monday were republicans not concerned about the politics of just sweeping this under the rug. as has been mentioned again and again, this is a nomination that has been rushed through so quickly, in part building on the fact that traditionally republican voter are the ones who have been motived to turn thought the midterms. he is dangling them and losing the senate. it s something traditionally democratic voters are not
activated about. so a replay 27 years almost to the date of the anita hill hearings, which galvanized women voters, which was a year of the women much smaller than the one we re maybe poised to have this year, that s not something certain republicans want the see that would chip away at their majority. margie, a number of people noted if mcconnell had the votes to proceed today, he would have. the fact they don t have the hearings because they don t have the votes to keep going. but it also strikes me that it s just extremely the plan always for mcconnell was to rush this through, particularly to jam up the red state senators. the idea is you re going get yeses from heitkamp and manchin and donnelly because they re going to have their backs against the wall and fighting for their political lives that calculation seems out the window to me now. well, certainly you have a variety of things that are true, right? you have women energized, women voters energized. women candidates in a
local offices and other statewide offices. you have this growing gender gap that s been around since 1980, well before all this. and it s also so far beyond this one incident that what s at stake here. you have the entire court being thrown out of balance on roe, on deciding very rights for women. you have protecting a president who also has been incredibly accused of sexual abuse and assault. it s just an astounding layer on layer on layer of things that are really very rightfully outraging women around the country. and you ve already got, as margie referred to, there is already the driving political dynamic has been the gender gap. you ve got 50% of nonincumbent nominees in the democratic party are women in congress. you ve got a 20 point gap women favoring democrats over republicans. i just got to imagine that if you re republicans, you re looking at these internals and
states, not just the senate race but people rung for congress and local offices and other statewide offices. you have this growing gender gap that s been around since 1980, well before all this. and it s also so far beyond this one incident that what s at stake here. you have the entire court being thrown out of balance on roe, on deciding very rights for women. you have protecting a president who also has been incredibly accused of sexual abuse and assault. it s just an astounding layer on layer on layer of things that are really very rightfully outraging women around the country. and you ve already got, as margie referred to, there is already the driving political dynamic has been the gender gap. you ve got 50% of nonincumbent nominees in the democratic party are women in congress. you ve got a 20 point gap women