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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Getting out to 2021 and even trying to have our central bank centralbank measure 2022. Jonathan looking forward to that conversation in a couple of hours right here on bloomberg surveillance. Weve also got to talk about the projections. We have not had projections from the Federal Reserve since the summer of last year, and they were looking for 3. 5 unemployment in 2020, and gdp growth in and around 2 . Nobody saw the revisions that would have to be made just half a year later. Absolutely extraordinary. You see it within the economic at a have been talking about. As Olivier Blanchard mentioned in our show open, the challenge forward is on policy. I know you were long amazon and apple yesterday, driving forward the nasdaq. Was. Han i wish i not just yesterday, but through the year as well. Tremendous performance in this equity market. Who would have thought we would have the revisions we are about to get later, and this equity market would be higher versus where it was in december . Spe

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Daybreak Asia 20240712

Focus with back in more job cuts in the wake of a record loss. Lets get you started with breaking news out of south korea. The Unemployment Rate for the month of may, coming in at 4. 5 , much higher than economists had expected. 392,000 jobs were lost in may from a year earlier. 4. 5 would be the highest level since 2001. This would be the adjusted jobless rate. We have seen losses of jobs when it comes to the hospitality, retail, and manufacturing sectors. Pressured because of weakness in global demand. There was some positivity over easing social distancing. For the month of may, it seems the Unemployment Rate has jumped in april, the. 8 highest level since 2001. Theing us for more is jpmorgan chief economist. Great to have you with us. That seems to be much higher than expected. His it just the is it just the tip of the iceberg given that we are expecting external demand to continue to be weak for the time being . Good morning. Yes, that number is higher than our expectations, indee

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas 20240713

, guy . S going on Europe Vincent we are seeing stocks guy we are seeing stocks turning around. Makes you wonder how bad they whisper number must have been for everybody to react positively to a 3. 2 number. Stoxx 600 in positive territory. Travel stocks leading the move. The big move in many ways has come from the ecb, announcing , theetails of its pepp pandemic emergency purchase program, which is it is using to buy bonds. It is basically tearing up all of the old rules that use to apply to ecb emergency purchases. As a result, we are seeing a big move on the italian 10 year, and massive move on the spanish tenure. Downw the bank of england today, and some really interesting comments out of the bank of england. Brent crude a little softer today, 27. 13. What a week it has been for stocks. There does seem to be much more positive sentiment towards the equity market. The question is how long can it last. Guy exactly. Vonnie exactly. Those jobless claims did serve four times the previou

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets 20240713

Could you suggest which specific areas of the country could have guidelines relaxed . Trump i think there will all Start Talking about that in a few minutes, tony will talk about it, but cant say lets close. People dont want to close. I say it again and again. The reason i do is that i want you to report it eventually. Reporter when you talk to president xi tonight, what do you want to talk to him about . President trump it is his call. I think we will have a beautiful call. It is tonight at 9 00. We will be talking about the virus. Reporter the market rally again, up over 4000 points in the last three days, largest increase since 1931. The Economic Activity has passed . President trump no, it has not passed but it has come along way. They think we are doing a really good job in terms of running this whole situation in terms of the virus. I think they feel that the administration, myself and the administration, are doing a good being very important in keeping people informed, because t

Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Daybreak Americas 20240713

Of ubs investment banking. Kaiser of ubs investment bank. Anything stood out to you so far . This is pretty much as expected. The key is to emphasize there is uncertainty, even though we have the emphatic conservative victory in the election, and we know that brexit is going to happen. Theres still uncertainty about what kind of brexit, and short for the bank of england, we dont know what the fiscal policies of this government will be. There is a little bit of stimulus built into their servitors manifesto which was not taken into account in the current bank of england forecast , but they have room to do a great deal more. If you have a budget in the next months from the conservatives which primes the me, has a lot of stem it economy, that has changes the outlook. Those seven who voted against change probably had that in mind. Alix are you trading cable at all . Stuart todays decision is pretty much in line with expectations. I think the view is the first half of the year you get the or

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