The big boet on bitcoin thats got everyone talking. But first, we begin with a trip back to the future for the markets and this was flagged by our own dan nathan a year ago today it was trading at 2900 and basically back to that exact level and lets fire up the flex capacitor to see what life looked like and wow, the world would change this time last year the s p 500 would trade 17 times pe and the tenyear note, and unemployment j was just over 3. 5 and Flash Forward to today, it is trading 20 times, and the yield. 6 and unemployment is projected to hit 16 and gdp is negative for the first time in over a decade. The world has been turned upside down and the market doesnt steam to care. So if youre an investor, should you make like a tree and get out of there i am told thats a funny line from the movie youve never seen the movie i saw it. The movie was released in the summer of 85. I think i turned 50 that year. It dawned on me as i listened to your intro the economy is george mcfly. Th
In mass. The speed record is four years for mumps. Moderna uses Artificial Intelligence by the way, fueled by Amazon Web Services to speed up the Drug Delivery and discovery process their covid vaccines are already going to phase two trials, shooting for phase three this summer thats incredible. Thats much fafster than anyone believed a long time ago that would change everything how many ifs . Mighty big ifs, too the rally gives us a glimpse of what the future may look like if moderna works with the dow up 211 points [ moo s p climbing 1. 1 and the nasdaq 1. 4 hallelujah. At least thats the Glass Half Full version of what happened today the world view says you have to ignore tomorrows hideous nonfarm payroll number at 8 30 because thats in the rearview if theres a vaccine around the corner, you have to believe the economys bottom and fuchl is much brighter than the past. Were buoyed by companies that said april and the beginning of may have been surprisingly strong lyft, uber, pay pal
Front. Showing millions of jobs lost. Well see more with the jobless claim number and tomorrow with the number from the government dow looks to be up 260 s p up by 34 and nasdaq up by 118. We are getting competing views jobless numbers we know are bad. Then you see oil prices that tell you where things may be headed prices may be up again gain of 7. 3 this shows you maybe things are starting to pick up around the globe. Maybe that demand is coming back that may be something to hang your hat on. Andrew thank you we have a huge lineup of guests. Secretary of state mike pompeo will join us to discuss relations with china former ceo of Goldman Sachs about the outlook of the economy and the ceo of paypal and also talking to the ceo of hilton and aflac ceo will join us and our media guru from lion tree hard to think we are going to pack it all in in three tiny hours. That means no screwing around at all today is what i think go for it then. Three hours time for everything. With err going to
Effective, it brought down the market up the day about 39 points s p 500 had given a run for the money. We are below that 2,800 level. S p up about 4. 5 keeping in mind the treasury yields right now, the 10year seems to be yielding 0. 606 andrew, ill send it over to you. Well give you an update now on the pandemic numbers. Global cases have reached 2. 7 million with 869,000 in the United States. The death toll in the u. S. Is nearing 50,000 new york cases have hit 263,000 and new jersey over 100,000. Georgia plans to reopen. They have the most confirmed cases with over 21,000 well talk about that throughout the morning. Yesterday, new york Governor Cuomo shared early results from the study of 3,000 people that said one in five new york City Residents tested positive. That means as many as 2. 7 million in new york already encountered the virus and survived and never knew it questioning the available of the test but said new yorks test was reliable enough to determine immunity thats base
Are in the markets for the second day in a row, weve had a nice rally in the open thats faded as we go into the close. This is part of that fading on the optimism of the reopening story here so banks have been weaker, retailers generally have been weaker, but still up fractionally, because the big five, the mega cap tech stocks are on the upside. We were talking about guidance, and once again, a number of the companies today pulled their guidance papa johns, mattel, office depot, genuine parts company, equity residential, Waste Management they join 170 other companies, that is one third of the ap 500 that has declined to give guidance and this is one of the reasons were seeing so much stock volatility how do you figure out what the right prices and multiples are when you dont have any idea what the earnings situation is going to be like we also have problems with dividends. Many companies are cutting their dividends as well, or even eliminating them altogether. Morgan stanley put toget