Westminster. Brexit, a pretty historic and tumultuous couple of hours we are expecting. The meantime, lets check on your markets. We are seeing market volatility, pound dropping lower today. Lets get the board up for you, pound at 1. 1981. There is a lot of debate in the newsroom over whether that has to do with Dollar Strength or markets realizing an early election could mean an alliance among the ones who wanted a hardline brexit and increasing the chance of a no deal, but we are seeing a tilt to the market overall, a little risk off mood. You can see a little higher than usual at 10 higher and gold at 1530. Coming up, we speak to sir Howard Davies, a chairman of rbs as the prospect of an election surges. We will talk about what that means for the banks. Dont miss that interview 11 00 a. M. London time. Lets get to the first word news with Sebastian Salek. U. S. Areand the struggling to agree on a schedule for the next round of talks after watching a rejection of allaying tariffs. A
Pretty simple chart. All about the s p 500. So often, we talk about the wild swings, the 1 , 3 moves. Dayou can see in blue, 50 resistance level 2950. Yellow comedy 200 day at in yellow, the 200 day. We are getting a lot of intraday swings, long term, it doesnt seem like the s p is going anywhere soon. Im looking at the Ishares Semiconductor etf, which is seeing inflows even as we saw trade tensions. 250tors added about million on thursday, the largest inflow of the year, then added another 50 million on friday. They Held Companies like nvidia, qualcomm, intel, companies that are sensitive to trade headlines. Lisa thank you so much for that. Ubsl with us, jason from Wealth Management and bloombergs luke kawa. Isntare range bound, why that an argument for income . Jason it is not a bad environment for carry strategies. We went overweight emergingmarket. They give you pretty good yield. If we get a risk off environment, rates fall. Gethey rally, then you spread compression. In an environ
To lift the company there. In the markets, heres were reset. The action is really in the bond market, cable rate. Everything else is doing a whole lot of nothing. 1 ,cable rate down 7 10 of unwinding any of those maybe we wont have a hard brexit trades over the last what he four hours. The bond market the last 24 hours. The bond market in italy he really hitting a low. Basically, you left, you came back, and it is exactly the same. David except there were tweets from the president about maybe raising some tariffs on china. Alix but in terms of the market action, it is more like bonds are at record low. Shocker. Time to bring you todays market moving news from all around the world. Joining us from london is bloombergs emma chandra, from rome is, taddeo, and on the ,hone rome is maria tadeo is the phone is ma michael khyber. Es you cape from minister heres you cape Prime Minister u. K. Johnson heres Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Pm johnson we will be leaving the eu on october 31. Emma we
Cant believe we didnt tell him it wasnt for sale. I cant believe this is even a conversation. David when this first came out, every one thought it was a joke. Hes just getting hes just kidding. And then maybe not so much of a joke. Alix do we know why he wants greenland . David because the arctic, particularly because of climate change, has become much more important. There are really Strategic Interests in greenland. In fact, president truman tried to buy it in 1948 for similar reasons. You invited meis to my house, im not coming unless you sell me something. Alix in the market, we had retail earnings coming out. We get a nice rally underway here. Eurodollar is flat. It is a mostly weaker dollar story in the g10 space. Selling in the bond market with the exception of italy. Inflation expectations continue to rollover. No one taking any big positions headed into jackson hole. The question is how you hedge this. David time now for the morning brief. At 10 00 this morning, we get u. S. E
The aftermath of the imf report i want to report the dollar did move lower. In talking to analysts across the street, the agreement is that this is a speed bump and the ultimate in the ultimate rally for the dollar. Look at the bloomer an index the bloomberg index, lower today but still higher than levels from may 2017. One reason is the unwind of risk on hedges. Tariffst weekend the were not delayed and the ecb meeting next week, potential for last,sh shift, and Interest Rate differentials. One source said, why overthink it . And other places as well. They roughly 30 decline, big rally out of the 2016 lows for stocks, but last year we had a debt cross, em dropping more than 20 . Not recently, this one, knowing how bearish it could be. Right now we have the em equity indexed 10 below its recent peak, however these last two debt crosses are a tell on what could be ahead and suggest more declines ahead for emf, and further out on the risk continuum, may be a bearish sign for u. S. Equiti