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<p><span>It is a pleasure to join the Economic Club of New York for this discussion.</span><a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20210601a.htm#fn1" title="footnote 1"><span>1</span></a><a name="f1"></a><span> Consumer demand is strong, vaccine coverage is expanding, and pandemic-affected sectors are reopening in fits and starts. As was the pandemic shutdown with its ebbs and flows, the reopening is without precedent, and it is generating supply–demand mismatches at the sectoral level that are temporary in nature. Separating signal from noise in the high-frequency data may be challenging for a stretch. The supply–demand mismatches at the sectoral level are making it difficult to precisely assess inflationary developments and the amount of resource slack from month to month.</span></p>
Patience And Progress As The Economy Reopens And Recovers, Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, At The Road To Recovery And What s Next, A Virtual Conference Sponsored By The Society For Advancing Business Editing And Writing (Via Webcast) Date
11/05/2021
I want to thank Heather Long and the Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing for inviting me to join you today.1
Strong fiscal support and increasing vaccination rates drove a strong rebound in activity in the first quarter, and the second quarter looks to be even stronger. The outlook is bright, but uncertainty remains, and employment and inflation are far from our goals. While more balanced than earlier this year, risks remain from vaccine hesitancy, deadlier variants, and a resurgence of cases in some foreign countries. The latest jobs report is a reminder that the path of reopening and recovery like the shutdown is likely to be uneven and difficult to predict, so basing monetary policy on outcomes rather
Parental Participation In A Pandemic Labor Market this post authored by Olivia Lofton, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, and Lily Seitelman
Gender gaps in labor market outcomes during the pandemic largely reflect differences in parents’ experiences. Labor force participation fell much less for fathers compared with other men and all women at the onset of the pandemic; the recovery has been more pronounced for men and women without children. Meanwhile, labor force participation among mothers declined with the start of the school year. Evidence suggests flexibility in setting work schedules can offset some of the adverse impact on mothers’ employment, while the ability to work from home does not.
Lessons From History, Policy For Today this post authored by Mary C. Daly
Today’s economic challenges are different from the past, and it’s important to learn from history to achieve a better economic future for everyone. As the economy recovers from the effects of COVID-19, the Fed’s new policy framework retains vigilance against inflation while committing to not pull back the reins on the economy in response to a strong labor market.
The following is adapted from a virtual webinar by the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco to the Economic Club of New York on March 2.