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In a new study, a team led by Yale SOM researchers devised a way to distill the text of the Wall Street Journal into numerical indicators, which could help policymakers predict how the business cycle will unfold over the coming months and years.
Based on an analysis of 763,887 Wall Street Journal articles published from 1984 to 2017, researchers found that news coverage of particular topics predicts 25% of average fluctuations in stock market returns.