Worldwide, a number of stories, including 21 days to the election. Both campaigns gearing up and finetuning. We are distracted by Bank Earnings. Jon ferro, jp morgan doing better than good. Citigroupi am getting , on first blush giving us the same enthusiasm we heard from jp morgan. Jonathan jamie dimons jp morgan delivering the beat, and it looks like city group is repeating the action. Figurepoint out, the eps third quarter, 1. 40. A little bit of an upside surprise here. I believe we have sonali basak with us. What are we seeing. Sonali we are seeing a beat on revenue, on fixed income. We are seeing loanloss provisioning higher than what jp morgan put in, but lower than what analysts expected. Perhaps wall street has just gotten it wrong compared with the banks are expecting in terms of loan losses. They are higher than jp morgan, so we are going to want to understand why the divergence, but overall, pretty clean numbers here. Tom as we see the numbers come out, we are getting this
Implications for the election and the implication for the leadership . It is also a good thing to look at other leaders and if they tested positive, how they have reacted to it. Also president bolsonaro of brazil. To thisare waking up across america. The determinant here is a oneweek just a show in for every patient, and the tip point for the medical professionals is the bacteriology of pneumonia, and overlaying pneumonia on this terrible virus. The president nowhere near there at this time, and he rests at the white house this morning. Now, verya right simple. We have deteriorated. There is no other way to put it. 57, dell futures 439. A plunge off ashdown futures 439. Dow futures 4. 39. West texas intermediate, oil down 1. 65. Francine, what do you see . Francine markets are a little bit calmer. That could be ratcheted up again with the jobs data. I wanted to show you pound because there is this on brexit. I need to look at gold etfs. We dont look at it very often. Tom but today it m
Moves down again. Tom im looking for an entry point here. Purves ofael tallbacken make a separation of the equity activity we saw yesterday from bonds, and particularly from fx. Kit juckes said the same thing as well. This is very discrete to the equity markets yesterday. See it with the vix in almost two points some hour or so ago. Some improvement there. Jon i would agree with that. The japanese yen did nothing in the last 24 hours. Treasuries did nothing in the last 24 hours. The question we have to ask, is it just an equity event, or does it raise really serious questions about folio construction from here on . Lisa especially given the fact that people are talking about the death of the 60 40 portfolio. What will act as a hedge if you get a risk off move . This was a nero selloff just as the rally was a narrow rally, as there seems to be a blowing off afteram, a reevaluation things got pretty heady given the is more backdrop of Economic Data we are seeing. Jonathan it is payrolls
Tomorrow. We will have our fed coverage as usual. Then onto an exceptionally busy end of the week. Theres no question about it, you wonder where this stimulus debate will be in washington by the end of the week and into the sunday talk shows. Jonathan 98 days until the election, you would think washington, d. C. Would get it together. Just as the economy starts to roll over, as that recovery starts to plateau, the collective will to do a whole lot more fades. That is the story, and it is always the story you when you exit the immediate crisis, the collective will fades. Tom Lawrence Kudlow still talking about a vshaped recovery. I am looking at the 3m and 16 , 20 s, unemployment. Where is the recovery . Jonathan as of q3, theres your v. After that you rollover. That is what everyone is expecting, even with the reopening. Everyone expected that mechanical lift as you go from shut down to reopen pretty much every economist expected it to fade as we got deeper into the summer. The big con
Washington, do something, and do something on this august 7. Jonathan 1 away from alltime highs on the s p 500 coming into this one. Equity futures off by 0. 4 . The data 90 minutes away. Lisa we are getting the u. S. July jobs report. This is backward looking, and only goes back to the first half before the virus started to reshutter businesses. How much urgency is there for negotiations about the fiscal second round of support . I hear someone will be speaking on bloomberg television, national akamai Council Director larry kudlow, speaking with some guy that is on at that point. Tom oh really . Jonathan thank you for the promo. [laughter] lisa then tomorrow, Berkshire Hathaway reporting earnings. Really interesting to see what they are going to do with their 137 billion cash pile. This is a microcosm if the u. S. Economy. Interesting to see any guidance about how some of them are weathering this period. Jonathan the price action shaping up as follows. In the bond market, treasury yie